Finding a winning football betting strategy can be a challenge, but there seems to be a hidden gem within Scottish football.
Scottish Confidential is a football tips service that has been generating profits since 2015, with 202.14 points profit recorded at the advised stakes.
The ROI for the service overall is reported to be a solid 10.15%.
The service is led by the mysterious expert known as "Braveheart", who supposedly has a knack for spotting opportunities in the lower Scottish leagues.
In these leagues, a bit of insider knowledge can go a long way. Information on players, teams and their motivation can be vital to whether a selection is a value bet or not.
Braveheart is selective with his tips and most of them are simple match odds bets.
He is off to a strong start to the season with 17.42 points profit, but it is early days. I will be tracking bets for the next few months to see if I can match his reported profits.
My results will be posted here on a monthly basis, but in the meantime, click here to find out more about Scottish Confidential.
Scottish Confidential Review Results
Month One Update
My first month reviewing the Scottish Confidential service ended with a loss of 6.51 points, which wasn’t the ideal start I was hoping for.
There were a few surprising results along the way and the tipster had mixed in some multiple bets. If just one or two of those had come through, it could have made a significant difference to the overall profit, so I was optimistic about what was to come.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 21 | 21 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | -6.27 | -6.51 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | -£62.70 | -£65.10 |
| Strike Rate | 42.9% | 42.9% |
| ROI | -20.2% | -21.0% |
| Overall Bank Growth | -6.3% | -6.5% |
| Bank (100pt starting) | 93.73 | 93.49 |
Results
| Date | Match | Bet | Stake | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2024 | Queens Park v Ayr | Ayr | 2.00 | 2.30 | -2.00 | 98.00 |
| 19/09/2024 | Alloa v Kelty Hearts | Alloa | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 99.66 |
| 19/09/2024 | Inverness v Cove Rangers | Inverness | 2.00 | 1.75 | -2.00 | 97.66 |
| 19/09/2024 | Forfar v Stranraer | Forfar | 2.00 | 2.15 | 2.30 | 99.96 |
| 19/09/2024 | Alloa / Inverness | 1.00 | 3.15 | -1.00 | 98.96 | |
| 26/09/2024 | Livingston v Airdrie | Livingston | 2.00 | 1.58 | 1.16 | 100.12 |
| 26/09/2024 | Raith v Falkirk | Falkirk | 2.00 | 1.85 | -2.00 | 98.12 |
| 26/09/2024 | Bonnyrigg v Forfar | Forfar (*Double Chance) | 1.00 | 1.65 | 0.65 | 98.77 |
| 26/09/2024 | Peterhead v Clyde | Clyde (*Double Chance) | 1.00 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 99.97 |
| 26/09/2024 | Livingston / Falkirk | 1.00 | 2.92 | -1.00 | 98.97 | |
| 27/09/2024 | Cove Rangers v Arbroath | Arbroath (*Draw No Bet) | 1.00 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 100.17 |
| 27/09/2024 | Spartans v East Fife | East Fife (*Draw No Bet) | 1.00 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 100.97 |
| 03/10/2024 | Alloa v Cove Rangers | Alloa | 2.00 | 2.10 | -2.00 | 98.97 |
| 03/10/2024 | Queen of the South v Kelty Hearts | Queen of the South | 2.00 | 2.25 | -2.00 | 96.97 |
| 03/10/2024 | East Fife v Bonnyrigg Rose | East Fife | 2.00 | 1.61 | 1.22 | 98.19 |
| 03/10/2024 | Alloa / Queen of the South / East Fife | 1.00 | 7.65 | -1.00 | 97.19 | |
| 04/10/2024 | Morton v Raith | Raith | 1.00 | 2.70 | -1.00 | 96.19 |
| 04/10/2024 | Annan v Montrose | Montrose | 1.00 | 2.75 | -1.00 | 95.19 |
| 04/10/2024 | Edinburgh City v Stranraer | Stranraer | 1.00 | 2.30 | 1.30 | 96.49 |
| 04/10/2024 | Stirling v Forfar | Forfar (Double Chance) | 1.00 | 1.60 | -1.00 | 95.49 |
| 08/10/2024 | Falkirk v Livingston | Falkirk | 2.00 | 1.65 | -2.00 | 93.49 |
Month Two Update
The second month of my Scottish Confidential review didn’t go well, ending with a disappointing loss of 18.54 points.
Added to the previous month's loss, I was down by a total of 25.05 points, wiping out a quarter of my starting bank.
At this stage, it seemed like it would be quite a challenge to get back on track, but I decided to give it a bit more time and stick with the review for now.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 25 | 25 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 35.00 | 35.00 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | -18.54 | -18.54 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | -£185.40 | -£185.40 |
| Strike Rate | 28.0% | 28.0% |
| ROI | -53.0% | -53.0% |
| Overall Bank Growth | -24.8% | -25.1% |
| Bank (100pt starting) | 75.19 | 74.95 |
Results
| Date | Match | Bet | Stake | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2024 | Hamilton v Falkirk | Falkirk | 2.00 | 1.65 | 1.30 | 94.79 |
| 17/10/2024 | Cove Rangers v Queen of the South | Queen of the South | 2.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | 92.79 |
| 17/10/2024 | Bonnyrigg Rose v Edinburgh City | Bonnyrigg Rose | 2.00 | 1.73 | 1.46 | 94.25 |
| 17/10/2024 | Falkirk / QotS / Bonnyrigg Rose | 1.00 | 8.56 | -1.00 | 93.25 | |
| 18/10/2024 | Ayr v Livingston | Ayr | 2.00 | 2.38 | -2.00 | 91.25 |
| 18/10/2024 | Stenhousemuir v Alloa | Stenhousemuir | 1.00 | 2.10 | -1.00 | 90.25 |
| 18/10/2024 | Stirling v Clyde | Clyde | 2.00 | 2.40 | -2.00 | 88.25 |
| 25/10/2024 | Falkirk v Dunfermline | Falkirk | 2.00 | 1.44 | 0.88 | 89.13 |
| 25/10/2024 | Queens Park v Partick | Queens Park (*Double Chance) | 1.00 | 1.50 | -1.00 | 88.13 |
| 25/10/2024 | Montrose v Cove Rangers | Montrose | 2.00 | 2.40 | -2.00 | 86.13 |
| 25/10/2024 | Falirk / Montrose | 1.00 | 3.48 | -1.00 | 85.13 | |
| 26/10/2024 | Livingston v Raith | Raith (*Double Chance) | 1.00 | 2.00 | -1.00 | 84.13 |
| 26/10/2024 | Stenhousemuir v Kelty Hearts | Stenhousemuir (**Draw No Bet) | 1.00 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 84.80 |
| 26/10/2024 | Annan v Queen of the South | Queen of the South (**Draw No Bet) | 1.00 | 1.83 | -1.00 | 83.80 |
| 01/11/2024 | Raith v Ayr | Raith (*Double Chance) | 1.00 | 1.53 | 0.53 | 84.33 |
| 01/11/2024 | Livingston v Queens Park | Queens Park (*Double Chance) | 1.00 | 1.95 | 0.95 | 85.28 |
| 01/11/2024 | Arbroath v Stenhousemuir | Stenhousemuir (*Double Chance) | 1.00 | 1.67 | -1.00 | 84.28 |
| 01/11/2024 | East Fife v Stirling | East Fife to beat Stirling | 2.00 | 1.65 | -2.00 | 82.28 |
| 01/11/2024 | Edinburgh City v Forfar | Forfar to beat Edinburgh City | 2.00 | 2.10 | -2.00 | 80.28 |
| 01/11/2024 | East Fife / Forfar | 1.00 | 3.47 | -1.00 | 79.28 | |
| 08/11/2024 | Partick v Raith | Raith (*Double Chance) | 1.00 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 79.95 |
| 08/11/2024 | Annan v Stenhousemuir | Stenhousemuir | 1.00 | 2.80 | -1.00 | 78.95 |
| 08/11/2024 | Queen of the South v Alloa | Queen of the South | 2.00 | 2.45 | -2.00 | 76.95 |
| 08/11/2024 | Bonnyrigg Rose v Elgin | Elgin (*Double Chance) | 1.00 | 1.53 | -1.00 | 75.95 |
| 08/11/2024 | Forfar v Spartans | Forfar | 1.00 | 2.63 | -1.00 | 74.95 |
