Golf Value Tips is a golf betting tips service from Bets For Today that targets each-way value bets on the Outright Winner markets.
The service is run by Mike Hamilton, who has been making a profit from golf betting since 2017 and running his tips service since March 2023, with results starting from October 2022.
His results to date show £1,173.25 profit at a 52.68% return on investment based on his advised staking plan. The staking is based on Kelly Criterion and there are three options for starting banks depending on the level of risk you're comfortable with.
Mike's average stake according to his results sheet at the time of writing is £19.03, so the staking plan isn't overly aggressive even with the minimum starting bank of 100 points, which is £1,000 in this case.
Bets are sent out between 2.00 - 4.00pm every Wednesday by email or through the website and there are an average of 17 bets per month, so it should be low volume and easy to manage.
We will be following the service for a minimum of three months, but because of the nature of the service and betting at higher odds, it's likely that we will extend our review beyond this.
Month One Update
It was a tough start to our Golf Value Tips review with 30 points dropped in the first week. Thankfully the tipster managed to pull some profit back with some high odds selections placing to give a few nice returns.
Charl Schwartzel placing at 150/1 resulted in 14.5 points profit alone, which recovered a big chunk of what was lost.
We still finished the month with an overall loss of 11.03 points and after such a rocky start, we had no idea which way it would go from here.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 45 | 45 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 72.5 | 72.5 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | -11.03 | -11.03 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | (£110.30) | (£110.30) |
| Strike Rate | 15.6% | 15.6% |
| ROI | -15.2% | -15.2% |
| Overall Bank Growth | -11.0% | -11.0% |
| Bank (100pt starting) | 88.98 | 88.98 |
Results
| Date | Player | Overall Stake | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2023 | Taylor Moore | 1.50 | 141.00 | -1.50 | 98.50 |
| 06/04/2023 | Joaquin Niemann | 2.00 | 67.00 | -2.00 | 96.50 |
| 06/04/2023 | Chris Kirk | 1.00 | 101.00 | -1.00 | 95.50 |
| 06/04/2023 | Tyrrell Hatton | 2.50 | 51.00 | -2.50 | 93.00 |
| 06/04/2023 | Tom Hoge | 1.50 | 81.00 | -1.50 | 91.50 |
| 06/04/2023 | Kurt Kitiyama | 1.00 | 91.00 | -1.00 | 90.50 |
| 06/04/2023 | Jason Day | 3.50 | 26.00 | -3.50 | 87.00 |
| 06/04/2023 | Tony Finau | 4.00 | 21.00 | -4.00 | 83.00 |
| 13/04/2023 | Si Woo Kim | 3.00 | 61.00 | -3.00 | 80.00 |
| 13/04/2023 | Matt Kuchar | 3.00 | 41.00 | -3.00 | 77.00 |
| 13/04/2023 | Chris Kirk | 1.50 | 67.00 | -1.50 | 75.50 |
| 13/04/2023 | Tom Kim | 2.00 | 34.00 | -2.00 | 73.50 |
| 13/04/2023 | Tyrrell Hatton | 1.50 | 41.00 | -1.50 | 72.00 |
| 13/04/2023 | Denny McCarthy | 1.00 | 91.00 | -1.00 | 71.00 |
| 13/04/2023 | Nick Taylor | 1.00 | 111.00 | -1.00 | 70.00 |
| 13/04/2023 | Brian Harman | 1.00 | 76.00 | 7.00 | 77.00 |
| 19/04/2023 | Jeunghun Wang | 1.00 | 81.00 | -1.00 | 76.00 |
| 19/04/2023 | Calum Hill | 1.00 | 71.00 | 6.50 | 82.50 |
| 19/04/2023 | Joost Luiten | 2.00 | 41.00 | -2.00 | 80.50 |
| 19/04/2023 | Jordan Smith | 2.00 | 34.00 | 5.60 | 86.10 |
| 19/04/2023 | Ryo Ishikawa | 0.50 | 126.00 | -0.50 | 85.60 |
| 19/04/2023 | Andy Sullivan | 0.50 | 111.00 | -0.50 | 85.10 |
| 21/04/2023 | Charl Schwartzel | 1.00 | 151.00 | 14.50 | 99.60 |
| 21/04/2023 | Dean Burmester | 3.00 | 31.00 | 7.50 | 107.10 |
| 21/04/2023 | Louis Oosthuizen | 2.00 | 36.00 | -2.00 | 105.10 |
| 21/04/2023 | Henrik Stenson | 0.50 | 67.00 | -0.50 | 104.60 |
| 21/04/2023 | Kevin Na | 0.50 | 67.00 | -0.50 | 104.10 |
| 26/04/2023 | Sanghyun Park | 1.00 | 111.00 | 7.63 | 111.73 |
| 26/04/2023 | Alexander Knappe | 1.00 | 91.00 | -1.00 | 110.73 |
| 26/04/2023 | Calum Hill | 1.00 | 41.00 | -1.00 | 109.73 |
| 26/04/2023 | Matthew Southgate | 0.50 | 81.00 | -0.50 | 109.23 |
| 26/04/2023 | Jeunghun Wang | 0.50 | 71.00 | -0.50 | 108.73 |
| 26/04/2023 | Zander Lombard | 0.50 | 104.00 | -0.50 | 108.23 |
| 27/04/2023 | Brandon Matthews | 1.00 | 176.00 | -1.00 | 107.23 |
| 27/04/2023 | Vincent Norrman | 1.00 | 91.00 | -1.00 | 106.23 |
| 27/04/2023 | Luke List | 1.00 | 71.00 | -1.00 | 105.23 |
| 27/04/2023 | Lee Hodges | 1.50 | 61.00 | -1.50 | 103.73 |
| 27/04/2023 | Patrick Rodgers | 2.50 | 26.00 | 1.25 | 104.98 |
| 27/04/2023 | Wyndham Clark | 3.00 | 17.00 | -3.00 | 101.98 |
| 28/04/2023 | Ian Poulter | 1.50 | 91.00 | -1.50 | 100.48 |
| 28/04/2023 | Bryson DeChambeau | 2.50 | 56.00 | -2.50 | 97.98 |
| 28/04/2023 | Thomas Pieters | 3.00 | 41.00 | -3.00 | 94.98 |
| 28/04/2023 | Charles Howell III | 3.50 | 26.00 | -3.50 | 91.48 |
| 28/04/2023 | Dean Burmester | 2.00 | 34.00 | -2.00 | 89.48 |
| 28/04/2023 | Lee Westwood | 0.50 | 91.00 | -0.50 | 88.98 |
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