Football Winner is a tips service from Steve Hudson, who likes to target the markets that the bookies make the least profit on.
His theory is that to beat the bookies, it makes sense to keep things simple and bet on the markets that they make the least percentage of money from.
Out of the most popular football markets, he has calculated that the bookies have the least edge on the 1x2 market.
Since May 2018, the reported results for Football Winner show a profit of £2,254.25 to £10 stakes at an ROI of 13.3%.
The majority of the bets are single win bets but sometimes they are combined into doubles or trebles and bets are staked at either 3.5 or 5 points each. A starting bank of 100 points is advised.
The tips are emailed out every Friday morning for the week's games and the service runs all year round. Each email contains the bet information and current available odds and where they can be found.
The service offers a 60 day moneyback guarantee, so you can get a 100% refund if unhappy for whatever reason.
During our review back in 2019, we followed the tips over three months and finished with a fantastic profit of 71.8 points at an ROI of 19.1%.
However, when we came to update our review in 2021, we found that the results for the service had gone downhill.
From May 2020 onwards the service struggled and went on to lose more than 100 points, which would mean new subscribers would have lost their whole betting bank.
On that basis, we decided to update our rating of the service to a "Fail".
Read on for our full Football Winner review, or click here to find out more.
Before you continue...
Our Football Winner review ended with a fail rating.
Please feel free to continue reading the full review below, though we recommend checking out some of the betting system reviews which ended in a pass instead. There's a small selection below or you can click here for the full list.
Month One Results
It was a good start to our Football Winner review with a profit of 26.7 points at an ROI of 19.8% at the available odds. The average odds for bets were around evens, so the strike rate of 59% was more than enough to achieve a profit. We hoped to see the service continue to keep that win rate up throughout the rest of the trial.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 27 | 27 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 135.00 | 135.00 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | 26.00 | 26.70 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | £260.00 | £267.00 |
| Strike Rate | 59.3% | 59.3% |
| ROI | 19.3% | 19.8% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 26.0% | 26.7% |
| Bank (100pt starting) | 126.00 | 126.70 |
Results
| Date | Time | Home | Away | Bet | Odds | Points | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2019 | 15:00 | Luzern | Young Boys | Young Boys to Win | 1.62 | 5.00 | 1.62 | -5.00 | 95.00 |
| 31/08/2019 | 15:00 | AFC Wimbledon | Wycombe | Wycombe to Win | 2.50 | 5.00 | 2.50 | -5.00 | 90.00 |
| 01/09/2019 | 19:45 | Cagliari | Inter | Inter to Win | 1.67 | 5.00 | 1.67 | 3.35 | 93.35 |
| 31/08/2019 | 17:30 | Burnley | Liverpool | 93.35 | |||||
| 31/08/2019 | 17:30 | Union Berlin | Dortmund | Liverpool & Dortmund to win Double | 1.81 | 5.00 | 1.81 | -5.00 | 88.35 |
| 31/08/2019 | 15:00 | Leicester | Bournemouth | Leicester to win | 1.75 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 3.65 | 92.00 |
| 01/09/2019 | 18:00 | Atletico Madrid | Eibar | 92.00 | |||||
| 01/09/2019 | 21:00 | Braga | Benfica | Atletico Madrid & Benfica to win Double | 2.39 | 5.00 | 2.40 | 7.00 | 99.00 |
| 05/09/2019 | 17:00 | Armenia | Italy | 99.00 | |||||
| 05/09/2019 | 19:45 | Romania | Spain | Italy & Spain to win Double | 1.94 | 5.00 | 1.94 | 4.70 | 103.70 |
| 07/09/2019 | 15:00 | Plymouth | Oldham | Plymouth to win | 1.80 | 5.00 | 1.80 | -5.00 | 98.70 |
| 06/09/2019 | 19:45 | Wales | Azerbaijan | 98.70 | |||||
| 09/09/2019 | 17:00 | Azerbaijan | Croatia | Wales & Croatia to win Double | 1.64 | 5.00 | 1.64 | -5.00 | 93.70 |
| 14/09/2019 | 20:00 | Barcelona | Valencia | 93.70 | |||||
| 14/09/2019 | 19:45 | PSV | Vitesse | Barcelona & PSV to win Double | 2.13 | 5.00 | 2.13 | 5.65 | 99.35 |
| 14/09/2019 | 14:30 | Dortmund | Bayer Leverkusen | Dortmund to win | 1.83 | 5.00 | 1.84 | 4.20 | 103.55 |
| 14/09/2019 | 14:00 | Fiorentina | Juventus | 103.55 | |||||
| 15/09/2019 | 12:30 | Barnsley | Leeds | Juventus & Leeds to win Double | 2.68 | 5.00 | 2.63 | -5.00 | 98.55 |
| 15/09/2019 | 12:00 | Huddersfield | Sheffield Wed | Sheffield Wed to Win | 1.95 | 5.00 | 2.82 | 9.10 | 107.65 |
| 14/09/2019 | 15:00 | Southend | Fleetwood | Fleetwood to Win | 1.95 | 5.00 | 1.95 | -5.00 | 102.65 |
| 14/09/2019 | 15:00 | Crusaders | Glenavon | Crusaders to Win | 1.62 | 5.00 | 1.62 | 3.10 | 105.75 |
| 21/09/2019 | 15:00 | Alloa | Ayr | Ayr to Win | 2.05 | 5.00 | 2.10 | 5.50 | 111.25 |
| 22/09/2019 | 12:00 | West Brom | Huddersfield | West Brom to Win | 1.67 | 5.00 | 1.69 | 3.45 | 114.70 |
| 22/09/2019 | 15:00 | Esbjerg | Brondby | Brondby to Win | 1.91 | 5.00 | 1.91 | -5.00 | 109.70 |
| 22/09/2019 | 16:30 | Chelsea | Liverpool | Liverpool to win | 2.05 | 5.00 | 2.05 | 5.25 | 114.95 |
| 21/09/2019 | 12:30 | Leeds | Derby | 114.95 | |||||
| 22/09/2019 | 16:30 | Arsenal | Aston Villa | Leeds & Arsenal to win Double | 2.02 | 5.00 | 2.04 | -5.00 | 109.95 |
| 21/09/2019 | 15:00 | Burnley | Norwich | Burnley to win | 2.05 | 5.00 | 2.05 | 5.25 | 115.20 |
| 28/09/2019 | 12:30 | Sheffield United | Liverpool | 115.20 | |||||
| 28/09/2019 | 17:30 | Everton | Manchester City | Liverpool & Man City to win Double | 1.79 | 5.00 | 1.79 | 3.95 | 119.15 |
| 28/09/2019 | 15:00 | Tottenham | Southampton | 119.15 | |||||
| 28/09/2019 | 15:00 | Chelsea | Brighton | Tottenham & Chelsea to win Double | 2.10 | 5.00 | 2.10 | 5.50 | 124.65 |
| 28/09/2019 | 15:00 | Charlton | Leeds | 124.65 | |||||
| 29/09/2019 | 16:30 | Leicester | Newcastle | Leeds & Leicester to win Double | 2.34 | 5.00 | 2.34 | -5.00 | 119.65 |
| 28/09/2019 | 15:00 | Peterborough | AFC Wimbledon | Peterborough to Win | 1.53 | 5.00 | 1.53 | 2.65 | 122.30 |
| 28/09/2019 | 15:00 | Inverness | Partick Thistle | Inverness to Win | 1.67 | 5.00 | 1.70 | -5.00 | 117.30 |
| 28/09/2019 | 14:30 | Hoffenheim | B. Monchengladbach | B. Monchengladbach to Win | 2.88 | 5.00 | 2.88 | 9.40 | 126.70 |
Month Two Results
The service took a small hit in the second month of our review with a loss of 6.4 points, but thankfully we were still quite a way ahead after a cracking start to the trial.
Our bank was still up by just over 20% and our total profit stood at 20.3 points at the available odds.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 21 | 21 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 105.00 | 105.00 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | -6.55 | -6.40 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | -£65.50 | -£64.00 |
| Strike Rate | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| ROI | -6.2% | -6.1% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 19.5% | 20.3% |
| Bank (100pt starting) | 119.45 | 120.30 |
Results
| Date | Time | Home | Away | Bet | Odds | Points | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2019 | 15:00 | Liverpool | Leicester | 126.70 | |||||
| 06/10/2019 | 15:00 | Rangers | Hamilton | Liverpool & Rangers to win Double | 1.64 | 5.00 | 1.63 | 3.15 | 129.85 |
| 06/10/2019 | 14:00 | Southampton | Chelsea | Chelsea to win | 1.91 | 5.00 | 1.91 | 4.55 | 134.40 |
| 06/10/2019 | 16:30 | Newcastle | Manchester United | Manchester United to win | 1.91 | 5.00 | 1.91 | -5.00 | 129.40 |
| 06/10/2019 | 15:45 | Willem II | AZ Alkmaar | AZ Alkmaar to Win | 1.78 | 5.00 | 1.80 | -5.00 | 124.40 |
| 05/10/2019 | 15:00 | Swansea | Stoke | Swansea to Win | 2.00 | 5.00 | 2.05 | -5.00 | 119.40 |
| 05/10/2019 | 15:00 | Millwall | Leeds | Leeds to Win | 1.73 | 5.00 | 1.73 | -5.00 | 114.40 |
| 11/10/2019 | 19:45 | Czech Republic | England | 114.40 | |||||
| 12/10/2019 | 19:45 | Norway | Spain | England & Spain to win Double | 2.25 | 5.00 | 2.25 | -5.00 | 109.40 |
| 10/10/2019 | 19:45 | Russia | Scotland | 109.40 | |||||
| 12/10/2019 | 19:45 | Italy | Greece | Russia & Italy to win Double | 1.80 | 5.00 | 1.83 | 4.15 | 113.55 |
| 12/10/2019 | 15:00 | Peterborough | Lincoln | Peterborough to Win | 1.95 | 5.00 | 1.95 | 4.75 | 118.30 |
| 19/10/2019 | 15:00 | Middlesbrough | West Brom | West Brom to Win | 2.05 | 5.00 | 2.05 | 5.25 | 123.55 |
| 20/10/2019 | 11:30 | Sassuolo | Inter | Inter to Win | 1.72 | 5.00 | 1.72 | 3.60 | 127.15 |
| 20/10/2019 | 17:00 | Molde | Haugesund | Molde to Win | 1.57 | 5.00 | 1.57 | 2.85 | 130.00 |
| 19/10/2019 | 15:00 | Chelsea | Newcastle | 130.00 | |||||
| 19/10/2019 | 19:45 | Juventus | Bologna | Chelsea & Juventus to win Double | 1.78 | 5.00 | 1.78 | 3.90 | 133.90 |
| 20/10/2019 | 16:30 | Manchester United | Liverpool | Liverpool to win | 1.70 | 5.00 | 1.80 | -5.00 | 128.90 |
| 19/10/2019 | 15:00 | Tottenham | Watford | 128.90 | |||||
| 20/10/2019 | 12:15 | Hearts | Rangers | Tottenham & Rangers to win Double | 2.02 | 5.00 | 2.02 | -5.00 | 123.90 |
| 27/10/2019 | 13:30 | Altach | LASK Linz | LASK Linz to Win | 1.62 | 5.00 | 1.63 | 3.15 | 127.05 |
| 27/10/2019 | 13:30 | Mlada Boleslav | Liberec | Mlada Boleslav to Win | 1.93 | 5.00 | 1.95 | -5.00 | 122.05 |
| 26/10/2019 | 15:00 | Middlesbrough | Fulham | Fulham to Win | 2.20 | 5.00 | 2.20 | -5.00 | 117.05 |
| 27/10/2019 | 13:30 | PSV | AZ Alkmaar | 117.05 | |||||
| 26/10/2019 | 14:00 | Lecce | Juventus | PSV & Juventus to win Double | 2.47 | 5.00 | 2.49 | -5.00 | 112.05 |
| 27/10/2019 | 16:30 | Liverpool | Tottenham | 112.05 | |||||
| 27/10/2019 | 15:00 | Rangers | Motherwell | Liverpool & Rangers to win Double | 1.93 | 5.00 | 1.93 | 4.65 | 116.70 |
| 27/10/2019 | 15:00 | Tondela | Benfica | 116.70 | |||||
| 27/10/2019 | 15:45 | Ajax | Feyenoord | Benfica & Ajax to win Double | 1.72 | 5.00 | 1.72 | 3.60 | 120.30 |
Month Three Results
We finished with an excellent profit in the third month of our Football Winner review thanks to the service achieving a high strike rate of 70.4%. We added 51.5 points to our betting bank, making it a total profit of 71.8 points.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 27 | 27 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 135.00 | 135.00 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | 50.8 | 51.5 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | £508.00 | £515.00 |
| Strike Rate | 70.4% | 70.4% |
| ROI | 37.6% | 38.1% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 70.3% | 71.8% |
| Bank (100pt starting) | 170.25 | 171.8 |
Results
| Date | Time | Home | Away | Bet | Odds | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2019 | 15:00 | Servette | Young Boys | Young Boys to Win | 1.65 | 1.68 | -5.00 | 115.30 |
| 02/11/2019 | 15:00 | Ayr | Partick Thistle | Ayr to Win | 2.25 | 2.20 | 6.00 | 121.30 |
| 02/11/2019 | 17:30 | Watford | Chelsea | Chelsea to Win | 1.67 | 1.67 | 3.35 | 124.65 |
| 02/11/2019 | 15:00 | Aston Villa | Liverpool | 124.65 | ||||
| 02/11/2019 | 18:00 | Benfica | Rio Ave | Liverpool & Benfica to win Double | 1.78 | 1.84 | 4.20 | 128.85 |
| 02/11/2019 | 19:45 | Torino | Juventus | 128.85 | ||||
| 03/11/2019 | 20:00 | Porto | Aves | Juventus & Porto to win Double | 1.75 | 1.78 | 3.90 | 132.75 |
| 02/11/2019 | 17:00 | Bologna | Inter | Inter to win | 2.05 | 2.07 | 5.35 | 138.10 |
| 10/11/2019 | 15:00 | Brondby | Esbjerg | Brondby to Win | 1.70 | 1.71 | 3.55 | 141.65 |
| 10/11/2019 | 15:00 | Lugano | Basel | Basel to Win | 1.90 | 1.95 | 4.75 | 146.40 |
| 09/11/2019 | 13:30 | FK Rostov | Tambov | FK Rostov to Win | 1.57 | 1.60 | -5.00 | 141.40 |
| 09/11/2019 | 17:30 | Leicester | Arsenal | Leicester to win | 2.08 | 2.05 | 5.25 | 146.65 |
| 09/11/2019 | 12:30 | Chelsea | Crystal Palace | 146.65 | ||||
| 10/11/2019 | 19:45 | Juventus | Milan | Chelsea & Juventus to win Double | 1.93 | 1.93 | 4.65 | 151.30 |
| 10/11/2019 | 16:30 | Liverpool | Manchester City | Liverpool to win | 2.70 | 2.75 | 8.75 | 160.05 |
| 16/11/2019 | 15:00 | Torquay | Sutton | Torquay to Win | 1.65 | 1.65 | -5.00 | 155.05 |
| 16/11/2019 | 17:00 | Russia | Belgium | Belgium to win | 2.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 160.05 |
| 16/11/2019 | 15:00 | Edinburgh City | Albion Rovers | 160.05 | ||||
| 17/11/2019 | 17:00 | Kosovo | England | Edinburgh City & England to win Double | 2.40 | 2.40 | 7.00 | 167.05 |
| 24/11/2019 | 15:00 | St. Gallen | Xamax | St. Gallen to Win | 1.62 | 1.62 | 3.10 | 170.15 |
| 23/11/2019 | 16:00 | Mattersburg | Wolfsberger AC | Wolfsberger AC to Win | 1.57 | 1.57 | 2.85 | 173.00 |
| 23/11/2019 | 13:30 | Opava | Mlada Boleslav | Mlada Boleslav to Win | 2.30 | 2.30 | -5.00 | 168.00 |
| 23/11/2019 | 15:00 | Everton | Norwich | 168.00 | ||||
| 23/11/2019 | 15:00 | Crystal Palace | Liverpool | Everton & Liverpool to win Double | 2.09 | 2.09 | -5.00 | 163.00 |
| 23/11/2019 | 15:00 | Brighton | Leicester | Leicester to win | 2.05 | 2.05 | 5.25 | 168.25 |
| 23/11/2019 | 15:00 | Arsenal | Southampton | 168.25 | ||||
| 22/11/2019 | 19:30 | Club Brugge | Oostende | Arsenal & Club Brugge to win Double | 1.79 | 1.79 | -5.00 | 163.25 |
| 30/11/2019 | 15:00 | Liverpool | Brighton | 163.25 | ||||
| 01/12/2019 | 16:30 | Leicester | Everton | Liverpool & Leicester to win Double | 2.04 | 2.04 | 5.20 | 168.45 |
| 01/12/2019 | 14:00 | Inter | Spal | 168.45 | ||||
| 30/11/2019 | 14:00 | Brescia | Atalanta | Inter & Atalanta to win Double | 1.92 | 1.92 | 4.60 | 173.05 |
| 30/11/2019 | 15:00 | Chelsea | West Ham | 173.05 | ||||
| 04/12/2019 | 20:15 | Liverpool | Everton | Chelsea & Liverpool to win Double | 1.77 | 1.78 | -5.00 | 168.05 |
| 30/11/2019 | 14:30 | Carmarthen Town | Bala | Bala to Win | 1.75 | 1.75 | 3.75 | 171.80 |
| 30/11/2019 | 15:00 | Queen's Park | Edinburgh City | Edinburgh City to Win | 2.40 | 2.40 | -5.00 | 166.80 |
| 30/11/2019 | 15:00 | Motherwell | St Johnstone | Motherwell to Win | 2.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 171.80 |
Review Summary
It's not often that we come across a profitable football tipster, but Football Winner managed to make the grade during our review and delivered a total profit of 71.8 points overall. In just three months we were almost three quarters of the way to doubling our starting bank.
The service was very easy to follow, with clear emails and only one email to look out for each Friday for the week's games. The bets were all on the match odds market and were a mixture of singles and doubles. The odds averaged at around evens.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
| Number of Bets | 75 | 75 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 375.00 | 375.00 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | 70.25 | 71.8 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | £702.50 | £718.00 |
| Strike Rate | 61.3% | 61.3% |
| ROI | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 70.3% | 71.8% |
| Bank (100pt starting) | 170.25 | 171.8 |
We didn't have any trouble finding the advised odds and even managed to make a slightly bigger profit (1.55 points extra) at the available odds.
The only gripe we have is that the stakes were all advised at 5 points each, so you are staking 5% of the bank with every bet. Hitting a bad losing run could quickly wipe out profits so we would advise caution with this.
At £14.95 per month or £49 for a full year of tips, the service offers great value and far cheaper than most other tipping services around.
Although our original rating of Football Winner was a pass based on our review results, the service has since reported poor results. The tips had been performing so badly from May 2020 onwards that they would have busted the betting banks of any new subscribers.
Unfortunately this meant that we had no choice but the downgrade our rating to a "Fail".
1. Did you follow in this review the advised stakes of 5 points per bet?
2. Do you think this will work on exchange such as betfair?
Hi, Yes we followed the advised stakes. It should be fine to use an exchange as the football odds are usually similar to bookies. Also there is now 2% commission available at Betfair.