OnTheNose Review: Month Six Update

OnTheNose Review

OnTheNose won the 2020 Best Tipster rankings over at Tipstrr and we heard that they have started 2021 in a similar vein.

The service focuses on horse racing tips and has reported 119.1 points profit during the past 12 months, averaging 9.9 points profit per month.

They send out around 20-30 bets per month and they are posted the evening before the races to catch those, sometimes overgenerous, early bookmaker odds.

Tips are posted to the website but they can also be received by email if you wish. Results are also instantly updated on the website and there are all sort of statistics available.

The tipster also runs the Each Way Value Tips service, which earned a pass after delivering 108.7 points profit during our four month review.

A 75 point betting bank is advised and the tipster says that history to date doesn't suggest that the bank would be threatened at all. That's good to know!

Will this service turn out to be as good as Each Way Value Tips? We will begin recording our results to find out and will be back with an update next month.

Month One Update

It wasn't the best of starts to our OnTheNose review with 10.32 points lost in the first month, which was 13.8% of our starting bank. There were just 3 winning bets out of a total of 29, working out as a strike rate of 10.3%.

Key Stats

 Advised OddsAvailable OddsBSP (before comm.)
Number of Bets292929
Total Stakes (pts)
Profit/Loss (pts)-10.32-10.32-12.64
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)(£103.20)(£103.20)(£126.40)
Strike Rate10.3%10.3%10.3%
Overall Bank Growth-13.8%-13.8%-16.9%
Bank (75pt starting)64.6864.6862.36


DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
19/03/202115:05 CheltenhamA Plus Tard1.00No4.50-1.0074.00
20/03/202113:05 FontwellNight Of Sin1.00No6.00-1.0073.00
21/03/202115:40 ChepstowStratagem1.00No7.00-1.0072.00
22/03/202116:10 KelsoCourt Master1.00No6.504.6876.68
23/03/202116:35 ClonmelHalf Shot1.00No11.00-1.0075.68
24/03/202116:25 HerefordCarpool1.00No9.00-1.0074.68
25/03/202114:45 LudlowRobinshill1.00No6.50-1.0073.68
26/03/202116:55 DundalkAward Dancer1.00No11.00-1.0072.68
27/03/202113:00 KelsoLucky Flight1.00No11.00-1.0071.68
28/03/202117:15 CarlisleThe Late Legend1.00No13.00-1.0070.68
29/03/202115:20 Stratford On AvonBannixtown Glory1.00No4.75-1.0069.68
30/03/202115:25 FakenhamMovie Legend1.00No8.00-1.0068.68
31/03/202113:45 SouthwellHis Dream1.00No6.00-1.0067.68
01/04/202117:50 Chelmsford CityMoraaheq1.00No8.00-1.0066.68
02/04/202117:15 LingfieldLord Of The Lodge1.00No7.006.0072.68
03/04/202119:30 WolverhamptonStar Ascending1.00No9.00-1.0071.68
05/04/202117:10 KemptonTotal Commitment1.00No8.00-1.0070.68
06/04/202120:00 Chelmsford CityBayston Hill1.00No7.00-1.0069.68
07/04/202115:50 Catterick BridgeThe Big House1.00No15.00-1.0068.68
08/04/202114:40 SouthwellWoke Media1.00No6.00-1.0067.68
09/04/202114:30 SedgefieldCourt Jurado1.00No6.00-1.0066.68
10/04/202114:45 ChepstowBroken Quest1.00No6.00-1.0065.68
12/04/202118:50 WolverhamptonLopes Dancer1.00No6.005.0070.68
13/04/202114:55 Newton AbbotBallyhill1.00No8.00-1.0069.68
14/04/202116:40 KemptonEasy To Dream1.00No4.50-1.0068.68
14/04/202115:50 CheltenhamDanse Idol1.00No5.50-1.0067.68
15/04/202118:10 BathSinging The Blues1.00No9.00-1.0066.68
17/04/202112:55 Bangor On DeeHis Dream1.00No21.00-1.0065.68
18/04/202114:32 Stratford On AvonMalina Ocarina1.00No5.00-1.0064.68

Month Two Update

It was a better set of results in month two of our OnTheNose review, with a profit of 8 points banked and more than double the strike rate of the first month.

We didn't quite make enough to cover the loss from month one, but it wasn't far off and if things continued the same way we would hopefully be in profit soon.

Key Stats

 Advised OddsAvailable OddsBSP (before comm.)
Number of Bets262626
Total Stakes (pts)
Profit/Loss (pts)8.58-1.48
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)£85.00£80.00(£14.80)
Strike Rate23.1%23.1%23.1%
Overall Bank Growth-2.4%-3.1%-18.8%
Bank (75pt starting)73.1872.6860.88


DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
19/04/202116:00 PontefractTellmeyourstory1.00No7.00-1.0063.68
19/04/202116:50 Kempton ParkHarefield1.00No12.00-1.0062.68
20/04/202114:40 SedgefieldDemi Sang1.00No8.00-1.0061.68
21/04/202116:10 PerthHunny Moon1.00No6.505.5067.18
22/04/202118:45 Chelmsford CityMay Sonic1.00No7.506.5073.68
23/04/202115:35 Sandown ParkTrawlerman1.00No9.00-1.0072.68
26/04/202118:20 WindsorWater's Edge1.00No9.00-1.0071.68
27/04/202114:40 YarmouthIronside1.00No7.50-1.0070.68
28/04/202118:10 Chelmsford CityAldrich Bay1.00No6.50-1.0069.68
29/04/202114:10 RedcarMystify Me1.00No9.00-1.0068.68
30/04/202120:25 NewcastleAnother Angel1.00No11.00-1.0067.68
01/05/202116:15 NewmarketChil Chil1.00No5.504.5072.18
02/05/202115:15 Hamilton ParkSignificantly1.00No10.00-1.0071.18
03/05/202115:45 CurraghMessidor1.00No12.00-1.0070.18
04/05/202115:05 LingfieldFour Adaay1.00No6.505.5075.68
05/05/202113:55 KelsoBaron De Midleton1.00No8.00-1.0074.68
07/05/202115:15 ChesterBrian The Snail1.00No10.00-1.0073.68
08/05/202115:45 Haydock ParkTomfre1.00No5.00-1.0072.68
09/05/202114:50 LudlowBack On The Lash1.00No5.004.0076.68
10/05/202117:20 SouthwellBlossoming Forth1.00No9.00-1.0075.68
11/05/202115:30 RoscommonMelliferous1.00No5.00-1.0074.68
12/05/202119:00 DundalkGetaway Queen1.00No5.00-1.0073.68
13/05/202114:55 SalisburyAmy Beach1.00No5.002.0075.68
17/05/202115:20 CarlislePrince Of Pearls1.00No5.50-1.0074.68
18/05/202115:20 BrightonDe Vegas Kid1.00No6.50-1.0073.68
18/05/202117:15 WolverhamptonBlue Beret1.00No6.50-1.0072.68

Month Three Update

There was a small loss of 3.3 points in month three of our OnTheNose review, which put us 5.62 points down overall. We decided to continue tracking results to see how things would go during the months to follow.

Key Stats

 Advised OddsAvailable OddsBSP (before comm.)
Number of Bets303030
Total Stakes (pts)
Profit/Loss (pts)-3.3-3.3-8.53
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)-£33.00-£33.00-£85.30
Strike Rate13.3%13.3%13.3%
Overall Bank Growth-6.8%-7.5%-30.2%
Bank (75pt starting)69.8869.3852.35


DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
19/05/202116:55 AyrSands Chorus1.00No9.00-1.0071.68
20/05/202116:00 Market RasenBafana Blue1.00No6.50-1.0070.68
21/05/202113:20 BathVictory Rose1.00No5.00-1.0069.68
22/05/202115:35 Haydock ParkIsabella Giles1.00No8.00-1.0068.68
24/05/202119:30 BallinrobeMust Be Obeyed1.00No7.503.5772.25
25/05/202117:55 NewcastleIrish Legend1.00No5.004.0076.25
26/05/202119:50 WolverhamptonStylish Performer1.00No6.50-1.0075.25
27/05/202115:15 WorcesterFrance De Reve1.00No8.00-1.0074.25
28/05/202118:55 Stratford On AvonLaw Of Gold1.00No15.0014.0088.25
29/05/202113:35 CartmelSee The Sea1.00No10.00-1.0087.25
30/05/202117:20 FontwellBazarov1.00No5.50-1.0086.25
31/05/202116:00 LeicesterChipping Away1.00No26.00-1.0085.25
01/06/202116:35 RedcarCarn A Chlamain1.00No5.50-1.0084.25
02/06/202114:35 NottinghamFantasy Master1.00No7.50-1.0083.25
03/06/202114:00 Ffos LasDrumlee Sunset1.00No12.00-1.0082.25
04/06/202114:35 Epsom DownsMuraad1.00No13.00-1.0081.25
05/06/202113:20 DoncasterChankaya1.00No13.00-1.0080.25
06/06/202114:00 PerthSoivegotachance1.00No13.00-1.0079.25
07/06/202113:00 LeicesterHigh Fibre1.00No13.00-1.0078.25
08/06/202118:45 AyrPavers Pride1.00No5.50-1.0077.25
09/06/202113:35 FontwellClemento1.00No6.00-1.0076.25
10/06/202113:15 NewburySovereign Prince1.00No5.50-1.0075.25
11/06/202115:30 YorkGale Force Maya1.00No5.50-1.0074.25
12/06/202115:30 HexhamSunrise Ruby1.00No6.50-1.0073.25
14/06/202117:00 Gowran ParkOttoman Emperor1.00No5.501.1374.38
15/06/202117:45 BrightonThegreyvtrain1.00No6.00-1.0073.38
15/06/202120:50 BrightonNapping1.00No15.00-1.0072.38
16/06/202115:25 UttoxeterDiamond Fort1.00No7.00-1.0071.38
17/06/202115:20 ChelmsfordNewbolt1.00No13.00-1.0070.38
18/06/202113:30 RedcarNoble Crusade1.00No6.00-1.0069.38

Month Four Update

OnTheNose made a fantastic comeback in month four of our review with 36.85 points banked at the available odds. The ROI for the month was an outstanding 122.8%.

Key Stats

 Advised OddsAvailable OddsBSP (before comm.)
Number of Bets303030
Total Stakes (pts)
Profit/Loss (pts)38.8536.8524.48
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)£388.50£368.50£244.80
Strike Rate30.0%30.0%30.0%
Overall Bank Growth45.0%41.6%2.4%
Bank (75pt starting)108.73106.2376.83


DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
19/06/202114:10 NewmarketUtile1.00No17.00-1.0068.38
20/06/202113:45 PontefractMay Blossom1.00No5.50-1.0067.38
21/06/202115:30 ChepstowAccrington Stanley1.00No8.50-1.0066.38
22/06/202114:45 BrightonJunoesque1.00No5.50-1.0065.38
23/06/202115:30 CarlisleFred1.00No8.00-1.0064.38
23/06/202117:15 CarlisleDont Tell Claire1.00No9.00-1.0063.38
24/06/202117:30 NewcastleGlobal Response1.00No17.00-1.0062.38
25/06/202115:45 YarmouthEastern Star1.00No6.00-1.0061.38
25/06/202119:05 ChesterBollin Margaret1.00No7.006.0067.38
26/06/202114:25 WindsorWar Of Courage1.00No5.00-1.0066.38
28/06/202117:05 PontefractVerreaux Eagle1.00No7.00-1.0065.38
29/06/202116:10 BrightonShamshon1.00No6.00-1.0064.38
29/06/202119:10 RoscommonPrairie Dancer1.00No5.002.8067.18
30/06/202113:00 ThirskBolton Abbey1.00No6.00-1.0066.18
01/07/202113:00 HaydockDapper Man1.00No11.0010.0076.18
02/07/202118:38 HaydockMr Wagyu1.00No8.007.0083.18
03/07/202114:45 LeicesterMystery Show1.00No15.00-1.0082.18
04/07/202114:17 ChelmsfordLethal Talent1.00No13.0012.0094.18
06/07/202115:55 WolverhamptonFrow1.00No5.004.0098.18
07/07/202115:40 YarmouthAldrich Bay1.00No15.00-1.0097.18
08/07/202116:10 NewmarketOne Ruler1.00No8.50-1.0096.18
09/07/202117:50 CorkKings Vow1.00No6.50-1.0095.18
09/07/202121:00 ChesterNikolayeva1.00No11.00-1.0094.18
10/07/202115:30 YorkRed Power1.00No6.00-1.0093.18
10/07/202117:40 ChesterThe Kodi Kid1.00No8.507.50100.68
12/07/202115:30 Newton AbbotStatuario1.00No5.50-1.0099.68
13/07/202114:45 BeverleyMay Blossom1.00No7.504.55104.23
15/07/202120:50 Epsom DownsVentura Vision1.00No6.00-1.00103.23
16/07/202117:50 HamiltonKornflake1.00No7.50-1.00102.23
17/07/202116:22 Market RasenRooster Cogburn1.00No5.004.00106.23

Month Five Update

After having achieved such good results in month four, OnTheNose had a mare of a time in the following month. They lost 17.5 points and there were only 2 winners out of 31, making it the worst month of our review so far.

On a positive note, our bank was still up by 18.3% overall, so we decided to carry on recording bets from here to see how things would stand after six months.

Key Stats

 Advised OddsAvailable OddsBSP (before comm.)
Number of Bets313131
Total Stakes (pts)
Profit/Loss (pts)-17.5-17.5-21
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)(£175.00)(£175.00)(£210.00)
Strike Rate6.5%6.5%6.5%
Overall Bank Growth21.6%18.3%-25.6%
Bank (75pt starting)91.2388.7355.83


DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeAvailable OddsP/LBank
19/07/202117:15 CartmelThe Steward1.0011.00-1.00105.23
20/07/202118:45 NottinghamFlying Standard1.007.00-1.00104.23
21/07/202115:10 LingfieldMalvern1.006.50-1.00103.23
22/07/202113:45 WorcesterDancing In The Sky1.0012.00-1.00102.23
23/07/202115:50 UttoxeterHowdilyoudo1.008.507.50109.73
24/07/202116:50 NewmarketFools Rush In1.005.00-1.00108.73
26/07/202113:45 AyrDoomsday1.007.00-1.00107.73
27/07/202115:25 YarmouthStopnsearch1.005.50-1.00106.73
28/07/202114:45 RedcarA Boy Named Ivy1.006.00-1.00105.73
29/07/202120:35 Epsom DownsMythical Madness1.008.00-1.00104.73
30/07/202115:20 Bangor On DeeKing Alfonso1.0010.00-1.00103.73
31/07/202120:20 HamiltonEuro Implosion1.005.004.00107.73
01/08/202113:50 ThirskIur Cinn Tra1.008.00-1.00106.73
02/08/202114:05 KemptonFirst Crowd1.0019.00-1.00105.73
03/08/202116:45 Ffos LasTriple Nickle1.009.50-1.00104.73
03/08/202117:15 Ffos LasRight Action1.005.50-1.00103.73
04/08/202116:10 BrightonChief of Staff1.009.00-1.00102.73
05/08/202114:50 RedcarGive It Some Teddy1.006.50-1.00101.73
06/08/202118:45 WexfordMy Oakclahome1.0019.00-1.00100.73
07/08/202117:30 NewmarketLucky Deal1.0013.00-1.0099.73
07/08/202119:35 LingfieldRoccozaam1.005.00-1.0098.73
09/08/202115:35 AyrChelsea Annie1.006.00-1.0097.73
10/08/202119:35 LingfieldGift Horse1.005.50-1.0096.73
11/08/202117:50 KemptonEdge Nibras1.006.50-1.0095.73
12/08/202114:10 Ffos LasWar Brave1.006.00-1.0094.73
13/08/202114:00 WolverhamptonArrange1.0019.00-1.0093.73
14/08/202116:25 PerthCaius Marcius1.005.00-1.0092.73
15/08/202116:20 PontefractArabescato1.009.00-1.0091.73
16/08/202113:45 CatterickGolden Rainbow1.005.00-1.0090.73
17/08/202119:35 CarlisleTellmeyourstory1.0013.00-1.0089.73
18/08/202117:30 WorcesterDuke Of Navan1.008.50-1.0088.73

Month Six Update

There was a profit of 7 points banked in month six of our OnTheNose review at an ROI of 25%. Although our review had been running for longer than the usual time frame, we had decided to carry on with it until we could make a clear decision on the rating.

Although we were in profit by 20.73 points overall, it was quite a low monthly average so we wanted to see if that would improve in the long-term.

Key Stats

 Advised OddsAvailable OddsBSP (before comm.)
Number of Bets282828
Total Stakes (pts)
Profit/Loss (pts)7.07.0-5.37
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)£70.00£70.00(£53.70)
Strike Rate14.3%14.3%14.3%
Overall Bank Growth31.0%27.6%-32.7%
Bank (75pt starting)98.2395.7350.46


DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
19/08/202115:55 ChepstowTawaafoq1.00No5.50-1.0087.73
21/08/202114:10 ChesterUber Cool1.00No15.00-1.0086.73
22/08/202115:20 BrightonKendergarten Kop1.00No12.00-1.0085.73
23/08/202116:47 BrightonBatchelor Boy1.00No11.0010.0095.73
24/08/202114:10 Bangor On DeeOcean Cove1.00No8.00-1.0094.73
25/08/202116:20 MusselburghJacattack1.00No5.00-1.0093.73
26/08/202113:45 ChelmsfordSilver Kitten1.00No5.00-1.0092.73
27/08/202115:30 NewmarketLiving Legend1.00No5.00-1.0091.73
30/08/202114:35 Epsom DownsSecret Handsheikh1.00No8.50-1.0090.73
31/08/202113:30 RiponLittle Ted1.00No7.006.0096.73
01/09/202115:00 LingfieldRed Showgirl1.00No5.00-1.0095.73
02/09/202113:15 SedgefieldTiffany Rose1.00No17.00-1.0094.73
03/09/202115:30 HaydockImprovise1.00No10.009.00103.73
04/09/202114:05 KemptonHierarchy1.00No7.00-1.00102.73
05/09/202116:50 YorkPivoine1.00No11.00-1.00101.73
06/09/202114:20 PerthStaple Head1.00No7.50-1.00100.73
07/09/202114:15 LeicesterCarbon1.00No5.00-1.0099.73
08/09/202115:40 UttoxeterYoung Wolf1.00No12.00-1.0098.73
09/09/202114:35 ChepstowTawaafoq1.00No6.00-1.0097.73
10/09/202114:30 SandownFarasi Lane1.00No5.00-1.0096.73
11/09/202115:40 LingfieldBugle Major1.00No8.50-1.0095.73
12/09/202114:35 ChelmsfordStylish Performer1.00No7.006.00101.73
13/09/202115:05 ThirskGolden Dove1.00No7.00-1.00100.73
14/09/202114:55 YarmouthCorvair1.00No6.50-1.0099.73
15/09/202116:40 SandownRewired1.00No11.00-1.0098.73
16/09/202115:35 AyrBringitonboris1.00No8.00-1.0097.73
17/09/202120:00 KemptonSamphire Coast1.00No19.00-1.0096.73
18/09/202115:50 NewmarketWidaad1.00No11.00-1.0095.73

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