Alex Peperell has been deemed an emerging star in the world of horse racing analysis and his new tips service, Pep's Big Race Tips, has been producing some positive results.
As the name would suggest, he focuses primarily on big race days where there are quality races available to bet on. His selection process relies on form, so he prefers races where the form can be trusted and value can be clearly identified.
He provides a full explanation with each of his bets, so you can see his thought process and exactly why they were selected.
At the time of writing, historical results for the service show 38.72 points profit since August 2023. Whilst it isn't a huge amount of profit, he had reached 64 points profit earlier in the year and had recently hit a downturn. Perhaps a recovery is on the way!
His tips are emailed out in the morning, or they can be accessed via a member's only area.
There is a £5 month trial available for new members and also a no quibble 30 day money-back guarantee.
I will be tracking results over the next few months and will include my results at the available odds, as well as results at Betfair SP.
Read on to see my latest results, or click here to get started with Pep's Big Race Tips.
Month One Update
My Pep's Big Race Tips review got off to a good start and I was more than 15 points in profit after a few days. Sadly, things went downhill from here and there was quite a poor run of results.
I lost all of the profit that I had gained and finished with a loss of 3.13 points for the month.
Alex showed his frustration but remained optimistic:
"A Royal disaster this week, it was one of those weeks where absolutely nothing went right. Givemethebeatboys backed into 4/1 second favourite and ran the worst race of his career by some margin; Space Legend gets beaten by a ridiculous performance; Opera Singer hits the bar; Continuous travels into the race like he's going to bolt up then finds absolutely nothing.
A week where almost everything I touched was cursed. That's the nature of the beast at Royal Ascot, because of the competitiveness of the races it's either excellent or terrible, there isn't much in between.
I'm very frustrated, but we have to move on."
Key Stats
Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP | |
---|---|---|---|
Number of Bets | 39 | 39 | 39 |
Total Stakes (pts) | 54.00 | 54.00 | 54.00 |
Profit/Loss (pts) | -3.51 | -3.13 | -11.9 |
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | -£35.10 | -£31.30 | -£119.00 |
Strike Rate | 20.5% | 20.5% | 20.5% |
ROI | -6.5% | -5.8% | -22% |
Overall Bank Growth | -3.5% | -3.1% | -11.9% |
Bank (100pt starting) | 96.49 | 96.87 | 88.10 |
Results
Date | Race | Bet | Stake | EW? | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23/05/2024 | 19:07 Sandown | Caius Chorister | 1.50 | NO | 3.50 | -1.50 | 98.50 |
23/05/2024 | 20:12 Sandown | Almaqam | 1.00 | YES | 13.00 | 7.20 | 105.70 |
24/05/2024 | 16:10 Goodwood | Able Kane | 1.00 | YES | 17.00 | -1.00 | 104.70 |
24/05/2024 | 16:20 Haydock | Electric Storm | 1.50 | YES | 7.50 | 6.09 | 110.79 |
25/05/2024 | 14:05 Goodwood | Francophone | 2.00 | NO | 3.25 | 4.50 | 115.29 |
25/05/2024 | 15:20 York | River Of Stars | 1.50 | NO | 3.50 | -1.50 | 113.79 |
31/05/2024 | 14:35 Epsom Downs | Blue For You | 1.00 | YES | 13.00 | -1.00 | 112.79 |
31/05/2024 | 16:30 Epsom Downs | Ylang Ylang | 3.00 | NO | 2.63 | -3.00 | 109.79 |
31/05/2024 | 17:10 Epsom Downs | Balmacara | 1.50 | NO | 3.50 | -1.50 | 108.29 |
01/06/2024 | 13:25 Epsom Downs | Whiskey Pete | 1.00 | YES | 11.00 | -1.00 | 107.29 |
01/06/2024 | 14:00 Epsom Downs | Astral Beau | 1.00 | YES | 10.00 | -1.00 | 106.29 |
01/06/2024 | 16:30 Epsom Downs | Ancient Wisdom | 1.00 | NO | 7.00 | -1.00 | 105.29 |
08/06/2024 | 15:30 Navan | Star Galaxy | 1.00 | YES | 12.00 | -1.00 | 104.29 |
08/06/2024 | 15:35 Haydock | Tiber Flow | 1.50 | YES | 8.50 | 6.75 | 111.04 |
09/06/2024 | 15:55 Goodwood | Bolsena | 2.00 | YES | 7.00 | 0.20 | 111.24 |
14/06/2024 | 16:10 York | Oviedo | 1.50 | YES | 9.00 | -1.50 | 109.74 |
14/06/2024 | 19:08 Cork | Greenfinch | 1.00 | NO | 4.33 | -1.00 | 108.74 |
15/06/2024 | 15:00 York | Klondike | 1.50 | NO | 3.75 | 4.13 | 112.87 |
15/06/2024 | 15:15 Sandown | Grand Karat | 1.00 | YES | 10.00 | -1.00 | 111.87 |
18/06/2024 | 15:05 Ascot | Arran | 1.00 | YES | 21.00 | -1.00 | 110.87 |
18/06/2024 | 15:45 Ascot | Makarova | 1.00 | YES | 29.00 | -1.00 | 109.87 |
18/06/2024 | 16:25 Ascot | Henry Longfellow | 1.00 | NO | 5.50 | -1.00 | 108.87 |
18/06/2024 | 18:15 Ascot | Naqeeb | 1.00 | YES | 15.00 | -1.00 | 107.87 |
19/06/2024 | 15:05 Ascot | Illinois | 2.00 | NO | 2.88 | 3.75 | 111.62 |
19/06/2024 | 16:25 Ascot | Inspiral | 1.00 | NO | 4.33 | -1.00 | 110.62 |
19/06/2024 | 17:05 Ascot | Real Gain | 2.00 | YES | 9.00 | -2.00 | 108.62 |
19/06/2024 | 17:05 Ascot | Bless Him | 1.00 | YES | 23.00 | -1.00 | 107.62 |
19/06/2024 | 17:05 Ascot | Regheeb | 1.00 | YES | 34.00 | -1.00 | 106.62 |
19/06/2024 | 18:15 Ascot | Hawaiian | 1.50 | YES | 11.00 | -1.50 | 105.12 |
20/06/2024 | 15:05 Ascot | Gallantly | 1.00 | YES | 13.00 | -1.00 | 104.12 |
20/06/2024 | 15:45 Ascot | Rubies Are Red | 1.50 | YES | 15.00 | -1.50 | 102.62 |
20/06/2024 | 17:40 Ascot | Al Musmak | 1.00 | YES | 21.00 | -1.00 | 101.62 |
21/06/2024 | 14:30 Ascot | Mountain Breeze | 1.00 | NO | 5.00 | -1.00 | 100.62 |
21/06/2024 | 15:05 Ascot | Givemethebeatboys | 2.00 | YES | 12.00 | -2.00 | 98.62 |
21/06/2024 | 15:45 Ascot | Opera Singer | 1.50 | NO | 3.50 | -1.50 | 97.12 |
21/06/2024 | 17:40 Ascot | Space Legend | 1.50 | NO | 5.00 | -1.50 | 95.62 |
22/06/2024 | 15:05 Ascot | Continuous | 2.00 | NO | 3.00 | -2.00 | 93.62 |
22/06/2024 | 16:25 Ascot | Task Force | 2.00 | YES | 9.50 | -2.00 | 91.62 |
22/06/2024 | 17:40 Ascot | Hand Of God | 1.50 | NO | 4.50 | 5.25 | 96.87 |
Month Two Update
It was a tough month for my Pep's Big Race Tips review, with the tipster losing an additional 20.65 points and causing my bank to drop by 20%.
I still had another month remaining in my standard three month review period, so I remained hopeful that the tipster would turn things around.
Key Stats
Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP | |
---|---|---|---|
Number of Bets | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Total Stakes (pts) | 28.00 | 28.00 | 28.00 |
Profit/Loss (pts) | -20.65 | -20.65 | -20.45 |
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | -£206.50 | -£206.50 | -£204.50 |
Strike Rate | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
ROI | -73.8% | -73.8% | -73% |
Overall Bank Growth | -24.2% | -23.8% | -32.4% |
Bank (100pt starting) | 75.84 | 76.22 | 67.64 |
Results
Date | Race | Bet | Total Stake | EW? | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26/06/2024 | 15:15 Salisbury | Leuven Power | 1.00 | NO | 4.50 | -1.00 | 95.87 |
26/06/2024 | 15:35 Carlisle | Jabaara | 2.00 | NO | 2.63 | 3.25 | 99.12 |
29/06/2024 | 14:55 Curragh | Bolster | 1.00 | NO | 5.50 | -1.00 | 98.12 |
29/06/2024 | 15:30 Curragh | Emily Upjohn | 2.00 | NO | 3.75 | -2.00 | 96.12 |
30/06/2024 | 15:25 Curragh | Norwalk Havoc | 1.00 | YES | 12.00 | -1.00 | 95.12 |
02/07/2024 | 15:15 Hamilton | Dutch Decoy | 1.00 | NO | 6.50 | -1.00 | 94.12 |
02/07/2024 | 19:50 Roscommon | Deakin | 1.50 | NO | 3.75 | -1.50 | 92.62 |
11/07/2024 | 16:45 Newmarket | Lead Artist | 2.00 | NO | 2.88 | -2.00 | 90.62 |
12/07/2024 | 14:40 York | Great Generation | 1.00 | NO | 6.50 | -1.00 | 89.62 |
12/07/2024 | 15:00 Newmarket | Bague D'or | 1.00 | NO | 6.00 | -1.00 | 88.62 |
12/07/2024 | 16:00 Ascot | Galaxy Princess | 1.50 | NO | 4.50 | -1.50 | 87.12 |
12/07/2024 | 16:20 York | Tiaraqueen | 1.50 | NO | 3.75 | -1.50 | 85.62 |
12/07/2024 | 16:45 Newmarket | Eminency | 1.00 | YES | 13.00 | -1.00 | 84.62 |
13/07/2024 | 14:20 Ascot | Ancient Rome | 1.00 | YES | 17.00 | 1.10 | 85.72 |
13/07/2024 | 15:10 York | Haunted Dream | 2.00 | YES | 8.00 | -2.00 | 83.72 |
13/07/2024 | 18:05 Chester | Vafortino | 1.00 | NO | 5.00 | -1.00 | 82.72 |
19/07/2024 | 19:55 Pontefract | Wen Moon | 2.00 | NO | 3.75 | -2.00 | 80.72 |
20/07/2024 | 14:25 Newbury | Naqeeb | 1.00 | NO | 6.50 | -1.00 | 79.72 |
20/07/2024 | 15:00 Newbury | Regional | 2.00 | NO | 3.50 | -2.00 | 77.72 |
20/07/2024 | 15:40 Curragh | Content | 1.50 | NO | 4.33 | -1.50 | 76.22 |
Month Three Update
I was glad to finally see a profitable month for the service after two losing months in a row. I finished month three with 16.03 points profit at an ROI of 36.4%.
That went quite a way towards recovering what had been lost. I was feeling much more positive and figured that another good month could produce an overall profit.
I decided to keep going with my review for a while longer.
Key Stats
Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP | |
---|---|---|---|
Number of Bets | 33 | 33 | 33 |
Total Stakes (pts) | 44.00 | 44.00 | 44.00 |
Profit/Loss (pts) | 16.23 | 16.03 | 14.18 |
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | £162.30 | £160.30 | £141.80 |
Strike Rate | 39.4% | 39.4% | 39.4% |
ROI | 36.9% | 36.4% | 32.2% |
Overall Bank Growth | -7.9% | -7.8% | -18.2% |
Bank (100pt starting) | 92.07 | 92.24 | 81.83 |
Results
Date | Race | Bet | Total Stake | EW? | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26/07/2024 | 19:50 York | Bolsena | 1.00 | YES | 13.00 | -1.00 | 75.22 |
27/07/2024 | 14:25 Ascot | Friendly Soul | 2.00 | NO | 4.50 | 7.00 | 82.22 |
27/07/2024 | 15:40 Ascot | Middle Earth | 1.50 | YES | 11.00 | -1.50 | 80.72 |
27/07/2024 | 17:25 Ascot | Bond Chairman | 1.00 | YES | 13.00 | -1.00 | 79.72 |
30/07/2024 | 15:00 Goodwood | Audience | 1.00 | YES | 11.00 | 6.00 | 85.72 |
31/07/2024 | 14:25 Goodwood | Jabaara | 2.00 | NO | 3.75 | 5.50 | 91.22 |
31/07/2024 | 15:00 Goodwood | Arran | 1.00 | YES | 34.00 | -1.00 | 90.22 |
31/07/2024 | 15:35 Goodwood | Facteur Cheval | 1.00 | NO | 7.50 | -1.00 | 89.22 |
01/08/2024 | 13:50 Goodwood | Palace Green | 1.00 | NO | 5.00 | -1.00 | 88.22 |
02/08/2024 | 13:50 Goodwood | Vino Victrix | 1.00 | YES | 13.00 | -1.00 | 87.22 |
02/08/2024 | 15:35 Goodwood | Starlust | 1.00 | NO | 9.00 | -1.00 | 86.22 |
03/08/2024 | 15:00 Goodwood | Caius Chorister | 2.00 | NO | 4.50 | -2.00 | 84.22 |
03/08/2024 | 15:35 Goodwood | Mostabshir | 1.00 | YES | 23.00 | 1.70 | 85.92 |
03/08/2024 | 15:35 Goodwood | Apollo One | 1.00 | YES | 15.00 | 0.90 | 86.82 |
10/08/2024 | 13:35 Ascot | Desert Cop | 1.50 | YES | 7.00 | -1.50 | 85.32 |
10/08/2024 | 15:05 Newmarket | Koy Koy | 1.00 | YES | 11.00 | -1.00 | 84.32 |
10/08/2024 | 15:25 Curragh | Givemethebeatboys | 1.00 | NO | 6.50 | 5.50 | 89.82 |
10/08/2024 | 16:45 Haydock | Naomi Lapaglia | 1.50 | YES | 9.00 | 0.45 | 90.27 |
11/08/2024 | 15:40 Ripon | St Pancras | 2.00 | NO | 3.75 | -2.00 | 88.27 |
12/08/2024 | 19:10 Windsor | Aramis Grey | 1.00 | YES | 13.00 | 0.70 | 88.97 |
13/08/2024 | 19:00 Hamilton | Paddy The Squire | 1.00 | YES | 9.00 | 0.30 | 89.27 |
17/08/2024 | 15:00 Newbury | Starlore | 1.50 | YES | 9.00 | -1.50 | 87.77 |
17/08/2024 | 15:35 Newbury | English Oak | 2.00 | NO | 4.00 | -2.00 | 85.77 |
17/08/2024 | 16:35 Curragh | Absurde | 1.50 | NO | 3.50 | -1.50 | 84.27 |
21/08/2024 | 13:50 York | Looking For Lynda | 1.00 | YES | 17.00 | 1.10 | 85.37 |
21/08/2024 | 14:25 York | The Lion In Winter | 1.00 | NO | 3.75 | 2.75 | 88.12 |
21/08/2024 | 15:00 York | King's Gambit | 2.00 | NO | 2.88 | -2.00 | 86.12 |
21/08/2024 | 15:35 York | City Of Troy | 3.00 | NO | 2.38 | 4.13 | 90.24 |
21/08/2024 | 16:10 York | Spirit Mixer | 1.00 | YES | 12.00 | -1.00 | 89.24 |
22/08/2024 | 15:00 York | Thunder Run | 1.00 | NO | 7.50 | 6.50 | 95.74 |
22/08/2024 | 15:35 York | Emily Upjohn | 1.50 | NO | 4.33 | -1.50 | 94.24 |
22/08/2024 | 16:10 York | Satin | 1.00 | NO | 6.50 | -1.00 | 93.24 |
22/08/2024 | 17:20 York | Key To Cotai | 1.00 | NO | 9.00 | -1.00 | 92.24 |