OnTheNose won the 2020 Best Tipster rankings over at Tipstrr and we heard that they have started 2021 in a similar vein.
The service focuses on horse racing tips and has reported 119.1 points profit during the past 12 months, averaging 9.9 points profit per month.
They send out around 20-30 bets per month and they are posted the evening before the races to catch those, sometimes overgenerous, early bookmaker odds.
Tips are posted to the website but they can also be received by email if you wish. Results are also instantly updated on the website and there are all sort of statistics available.
The tipster also runs the Each Way Value Tips service, which earned a pass after delivering 108.7 points profit during our four month review.
A 75 point betting bank is advised and the tipster says that history to date doesn't suggest that the bank would be threatened at all. That's good to know!
Did this service turn out to be as good as Each Way Value Tips?
Read on for our full OnTheNose review, or click here for 70% off your first month.
Review profit/loss | +6.58 points profit |
ROI | 3.3% |
Strike rate | 15.3% |
Stakes | 1 point stakes |
Starting bank | 75 points |
Average no. bets | Approx. 30 per month |
Time tips sent | Evening |
Price | £29 per month |
Rating | FAIL |
Before you continue...
Our OnTheNose review ended with a fail rating.
Please feel free to continue reading the full review below, though we recommend checking out some of the betting system reviews which ended in a pass instead. There's a small selection below or you can click here for the full list.
Month One Update
It wasn't the best of starts to our OnTheNose review with 10.32 points lost in the first month, which was 13.8% of our starting bank. There were just 3 winning bets out of a total of 29, working out as a strike rate of 10.3%.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP (before comm.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 29.0 | 29.0 | 29.0 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | -10.32 | -10.32 | -12.64 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | (£103.20) | (£103.20) | (£126.40) |
| Strike Rate | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% |
| ROI | -35.6% | -35.6% | -43.6% |
| Overall Bank Growth | -13.8% | -13.8% | -16.9% |
| Bank (75pt starting) | 64.68 | 64.68 | 62.36 |
Results
| Date | Race | Selection | Total Stake | EW? | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2021 | 15:05 Cheltenham | A Plus Tard | 1.00 | No | 4.50 | -1.00 | 74.00 |
| 20/03/2021 | 13:05 Fontwell | Night Of Sin | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 73.00 |
| 21/03/2021 | 15:40 Chepstow | Stratagem | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | -1.00 | 72.00 |
| 22/03/2021 | 16:10 Kelso | Court Master | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | 4.68 | 76.68 |
| 23/03/2021 | 16:35 Clonmel | Half Shot | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | -1.00 | 75.68 |
| 24/03/2021 | 16:25 Hereford | Carpool | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 74.68 |
| 25/03/2021 | 14:45 Ludlow | Robinshill | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 73.68 |
| 26/03/2021 | 16:55 Dundalk | Award Dancer | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | -1.00 | 72.68 |
| 27/03/2021 | 13:00 Kelso | Lucky Flight | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | -1.00 | 71.68 |
| 28/03/2021 | 17:15 Carlisle | The Late Legend | 1.00 | No | 13.00 | -1.00 | 70.68 |
| 29/03/2021 | 15:20 Stratford On Avon | Bannixtown Glory | 1.00 | No | 4.75 | -1.00 | 69.68 |
| 30/03/2021 | 15:25 Fakenham | Movie Legend | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 68.68 |
| 31/03/2021 | 13:45 Southwell | His Dream | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 67.68 |
| 01/04/2021 | 17:50 Chelmsford City | Moraaheq | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 66.68 |
| 02/04/2021 | 17:15 Lingfield | Lord Of The Lodge | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | 6.00 | 72.68 |
| 03/04/2021 | 19:30 Wolverhampton | Star Ascending | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 71.68 |
| 05/04/2021 | 17:10 Kempton | Total Commitment | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 70.68 |
| 06/04/2021 | 20:00 Chelmsford City | Bayston Hill | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | -1.00 | 69.68 |
| 07/04/2021 | 15:50 Catterick Bridge | The Big House | 1.00 | No | 15.00 | -1.00 | 68.68 |
| 08/04/2021 | 14:40 Southwell | Woke Media | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 67.68 |
| 09/04/2021 | 14:30 Sedgefield | Court Jurado | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 66.68 |
| 10/04/2021 | 14:45 Chepstow | Broken Quest | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 65.68 |
| 12/04/2021 | 18:50 Wolverhampton | Lopes Dancer | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | 5.00 | 70.68 |
| 13/04/2021 | 14:55 Newton Abbot | Ballyhill | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 69.68 |
| 14/04/2021 | 16:40 Kempton | Easy To Dream | 1.00 | No | 4.50 | -1.00 | 68.68 |
| 14/04/2021 | 15:50 Cheltenham | Danse Idol | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 67.68 |
| 15/04/2021 | 18:10 Bath | Singing The Blues | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 66.68 |
| 17/04/2021 | 12:55 Bangor On Dee | His Dream | 1.00 | No | 21.00 | -1.00 | 65.68 |
| 18/04/2021 | 14:32 Stratford On Avon | Malina Ocarina | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 64.68 |
Month Two Update
It was a better set of results in month two of our OnTheNose review, with a profit of 8 points banked and more than double the strike rate of the first month.
We didn't quite make enough to cover the loss from month one, but it wasn't far off and if things continued the same way we would hopefully be in profit soon.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP (before comm.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 26.0 | 26.0 | 26.0 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | 8.5 | 8 | -1.48 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | £85.00 | £80.00 | (£14.80) |
| Strike Rate | 23.1% | 23.1% | 23.1% |
| ROI | 32.7% | 30.8% | -5.7% |
| Overall Bank Growth | -2.4% | -3.1% | -18.8% |
| Bank (75pt starting) | 73.18 | 72.68 | 60.88 |
Results
| Date | Race | Selection | Total Stake | EW? | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2021 | 16:00 Pontefract | Tellmeyourstory | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | -1.00 | 63.68 |
| 19/04/2021 | 16:50 Kempton Park | Harefield | 1.00 | No | 12.00 | -1.00 | 62.68 |
| 20/04/2021 | 14:40 Sedgefield | Demi Sang | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 61.68 |
| 21/04/2021 | 16:10 Perth | Hunny Moon | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | 5.50 | 67.18 |
| 22/04/2021 | 18:45 Chelmsford City | May Sonic | 1.00 | No | 7.50 | 6.50 | 73.68 |
| 23/04/2021 | 15:35 Sandown Park | Trawlerman | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 72.68 |
| 26/04/2021 | 18:20 Windsor | Water's Edge | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 71.68 |
| 27/04/2021 | 14:40 Yarmouth | Ironside | 1.00 | No | 7.50 | -1.00 | 70.68 |
| 28/04/2021 | 18:10 Chelmsford City | Aldrich Bay | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 69.68 |
| 29/04/2021 | 14:10 Redcar | Mystify Me | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 68.68 |
| 30/04/2021 | 20:25 Newcastle | Another Angel | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | -1.00 | 67.68 |
| 01/05/2021 | 16:15 Newmarket | Chil Chil | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | 4.50 | 72.18 |
| 02/05/2021 | 15:15 Hamilton Park | Significantly | 1.00 | No | 10.00 | -1.00 | 71.18 |
| 03/05/2021 | 15:45 Curragh | Messidor | 1.00 | No | 12.00 | -1.00 | 70.18 |
| 04/05/2021 | 15:05 Lingfield | Four Adaay | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | 5.50 | 75.68 |
| 05/05/2021 | 13:55 Kelso | Baron De Midleton | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 74.68 |
| 07/05/2021 | 15:15 Chester | Brian The Snail | 1.00 | No | 10.00 | -1.00 | 73.68 |
| 08/05/2021 | 15:45 Haydock Park | Tomfre | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 72.68 |
| 09/05/2021 | 14:50 Ludlow | Back On The Lash | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | 4.00 | 76.68 |
| 10/05/2021 | 17:20 Southwell | Blossoming Forth | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 75.68 |
| 11/05/2021 | 15:30 Roscommon | Melliferous | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 74.68 |
| 12/05/2021 | 19:00 Dundalk | Getaway Queen | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 73.68 |
| 13/05/2021 | 14:55 Salisbury | Amy Beach | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | 2.00 | 75.68 |
| 17/05/2021 | 15:20 Carlisle | Prince Of Pearls | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 74.68 |
| 18/05/2021 | 15:20 Brighton | De Vegas Kid | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 73.68 |
| 18/05/2021 | 17:15 Wolverhampton | Blue Beret | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 72.68 |
Month Three Update
There was a small loss of 3.3 points in month three of our OnTheNose review, which put us 5.62 points down overall. We decided to continue tracking results to see how things would go during the months to follow.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP (before comm.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | -3.3 | -3.3 | -8.53 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | -£33.00 | -£33.00 | -£85.30 |
| Strike Rate | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% |
| ROI | -11.0% | -11.0% | -28.4% |
| Overall Bank Growth | -6.8% | -7.5% | -30.2% |
| Bank (75pt starting) | 69.88 | 69.38 | 52.35 |
Results
| Date | Race | Selection | Total Stake | EW? | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2021 | 16:55 Ayr | Sands Chorus | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 71.68 |
| 20/05/2021 | 16:00 Market Rasen | Bafana Blue | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 70.68 |
| 21/05/2021 | 13:20 Bath | Victory Rose | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 69.68 |
| 22/05/2021 | 15:35 Haydock Park | Isabella Giles | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 68.68 |
| 24/05/2021 | 19:30 Ballinrobe | Must Be Obeyed | 1.00 | No | 7.50 | 3.57 | 72.25 |
| 25/05/2021 | 17:55 Newcastle | Irish Legend | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | 4.00 | 76.25 |
| 26/05/2021 | 19:50 Wolverhampton | Stylish Performer | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 75.25 |
| 27/05/2021 | 15:15 Worcester | France De Reve | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 74.25 |
| 28/05/2021 | 18:55 Stratford On Avon | Law Of Gold | 1.00 | No | 15.00 | 14.00 | 88.25 |
| 29/05/2021 | 13:35 Cartmel | See The Sea | 1.00 | No | 10.00 | -1.00 | 87.25 |
| 30/05/2021 | 17:20 Fontwell | Bazarov | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 86.25 |
| 31/05/2021 | 16:00 Leicester | Chipping Away | 1.00 | No | 26.00 | -1.00 | 85.25 |
| 01/06/2021 | 16:35 Redcar | Carn A Chlamain | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 84.25 |
| 02/06/2021 | 14:35 Nottingham | Fantasy Master | 1.00 | No | 7.50 | -1.00 | 83.25 |
| 03/06/2021 | 14:00 Ffos Las | Drumlee Sunset | 1.00 | No | 12.00 | -1.00 | 82.25 |
| 04/06/2021 | 14:35 Epsom Downs | Muraad | 1.00 | No | 13.00 | -1.00 | 81.25 |
| 05/06/2021 | 13:20 Doncaster | Chankaya | 1.00 | No | 13.00 | -1.00 | 80.25 |
| 06/06/2021 | 14:00 Perth | Soivegotachance | 1.00 | No | 13.00 | -1.00 | 79.25 |
| 07/06/2021 | 13:00 Leicester | High Fibre | 1.00 | No | 13.00 | -1.00 | 78.25 |
| 08/06/2021 | 18:45 Ayr | Pavers Pride | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 77.25 |
| 09/06/2021 | 13:35 Fontwell | Clemento | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 76.25 |
| 10/06/2021 | 13:15 Newbury | Sovereign Prince | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 75.25 |
| 11/06/2021 | 15:30 York | Gale Force Maya | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 74.25 |
| 12/06/2021 | 15:30 Hexham | Sunrise Ruby | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 73.25 |
| 14/06/2021 | 17:00 Gowran Park | Ottoman Emperor | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | 1.13 | 74.38 |
| 15/06/2021 | 17:45 Brighton | Thegreyvtrain | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 73.38 |
| 15/06/2021 | 20:50 Brighton | Napping | 1.00 | No | 15.00 | -1.00 | 72.38 |
| 16/06/2021 | 15:25 Uttoxeter | Diamond Fort | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | -1.00 | 71.38 |
| 17/06/2021 | 15:20 Chelmsford | Newbolt | 1.00 | No | 13.00 | -1.00 | 70.38 |
| 18/06/2021 | 13:30 Redcar | Noble Crusade | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 69.38 |
Month Four Update
OnTheNose made a fantastic comeback in month four of our review with 36.85 points banked at the available odds. The ROI for the month was an outstanding 122.8%.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP (before comm.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | 38.85 | 36.85 | 24.48 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | £388.50 | £368.50 | £244.80 |
| Strike Rate | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| ROI | 129.5% | 122.8% | 81.6% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 45.0% | 41.6% | 2.4% |
| Bank (75pt starting) | 108.73 | 106.23 | 76.83 |
Results
| Date | Race | Selection | Total Stake | EW? | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2021 | 14:10 Newmarket | Utile | 1.00 | No | 17.00 | -1.00 | 68.38 |
| 20/06/2021 | 13:45 Pontefract | May Blossom | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 67.38 |
| 21/06/2021 | 15:30 Chepstow | Accrington Stanley | 1.00 | No | 8.50 | -1.00 | 66.38 |
| 22/06/2021 | 14:45 Brighton | Junoesque | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 65.38 |
| 23/06/2021 | 15:30 Carlisle | Fred | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 64.38 |
| 23/06/2021 | 17:15 Carlisle | Dont Tell Claire | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 63.38 |
| 24/06/2021 | 17:30 Newcastle | Global Response | 1.00 | No | 17.00 | -1.00 | 62.38 |
| 25/06/2021 | 15:45 Yarmouth | Eastern Star | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 61.38 |
| 25/06/2021 | 19:05 Chester | Bollin Margaret | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | 6.00 | 67.38 |
| 26/06/2021 | 14:25 Windsor | War Of Courage | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 66.38 |
| 28/06/2021 | 17:05 Pontefract | Verreaux Eagle | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | -1.00 | 65.38 |
| 29/06/2021 | 16:10 Brighton | Shamshon | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 64.38 |
| 29/06/2021 | 19:10 Roscommon | Prairie Dancer | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | 2.80 | 67.18 |
| 30/06/2021 | 13:00 Thirsk | Bolton Abbey | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 66.18 |
| 01/07/2021 | 13:00 Haydock | Dapper Man | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | 10.00 | 76.18 |
| 02/07/2021 | 18:38 Haydock | Mr Wagyu | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | 7.00 | 83.18 |
| 03/07/2021 | 14:45 Leicester | Mystery Show | 1.00 | No | 15.00 | -1.00 | 82.18 |
| 04/07/2021 | 14:17 Chelmsford | Lethal Talent | 1.00 | No | 13.00 | 12.00 | 94.18 |
| 06/07/2021 | 15:55 Wolverhampton | Frow | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | 4.00 | 98.18 |
| 07/07/2021 | 15:40 Yarmouth | Aldrich Bay | 1.00 | No | 15.00 | -1.00 | 97.18 |
| 08/07/2021 | 16:10 Newmarket | One Ruler | 1.00 | No | 8.50 | -1.00 | 96.18 |
| 09/07/2021 | 17:50 Cork | Kings Vow | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 95.18 |
| 09/07/2021 | 21:00 Chester | Nikolayeva | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | -1.00 | 94.18 |
| 10/07/2021 | 15:30 York | Red Power | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 93.18 |
| 10/07/2021 | 17:40 Chester | The Kodi Kid | 1.00 | No | 8.50 | 7.50 | 100.68 |
| 12/07/2021 | 15:30 Newton Abbot | Statuario | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 99.68 |
| 13/07/2021 | 14:45 Beverley | May Blossom | 1.00 | No | 7.50 | 4.55 | 104.23 |
| 15/07/2021 | 20:50 Epsom Downs | Ventura Vision | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 103.23 |
| 16/07/2021 | 17:50 Hamilton | Kornflake | 1.00 | No | 7.50 | -1.00 | 102.23 |
| 17/07/2021 | 16:22 Market Rasen | Rooster Cogburn | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | 4.00 | 106.23 |
Month Five Update
After having achieved such good results in month four, OnTheNose had a mare of a time in the following month. They lost 17.5 points and there were only 2 winners out of 31, making it the worst month of our review so far.
On a positive note, our bank was still up by 18.3% overall, so we decided to carry on recording bets from here to see how things would stand after six months.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP (before comm.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 31 | 31 | 31 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 31.0 | 31.0 | 31.0 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | -17.5 | -17.5 | -21 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | (£175.00) | (£175.00) | (£210.00) |
| Strike Rate | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| ROI | -56.5% | -56.5% | -67.7% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 21.6% | 18.3% | -25.6% |
| Bank (75pt starting) | 91.23 | 88.73 | 55.83 |
Results
| Date | Race | Selection | Total Stake | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2021 | 17:15 Cartmel | The Steward | 1.00 | 11.00 | -1.00 | 105.23 |
| 20/07/2021 | 18:45 Nottingham | Flying Standard | 1.00 | 7.00 | -1.00 | 104.23 |
| 21/07/2021 | 15:10 Lingfield | Malvern | 1.00 | 6.50 | -1.00 | 103.23 |
| 22/07/2021 | 13:45 Worcester | Dancing In The Sky | 1.00 | 12.00 | -1.00 | 102.23 |
| 23/07/2021 | 15:50 Uttoxeter | Howdilyoudo | 1.00 | 8.50 | 7.50 | 109.73 |
| 24/07/2021 | 16:50 Newmarket | Fools Rush In | 1.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | 108.73 |
| 26/07/2021 | 13:45 Ayr | Doomsday | 1.00 | 7.00 | -1.00 | 107.73 |
| 27/07/2021 | 15:25 Yarmouth | Stopnsearch | 1.00 | 5.50 | -1.00 | 106.73 |
| 28/07/2021 | 14:45 Redcar | A Boy Named Ivy | 1.00 | 6.00 | -1.00 | 105.73 |
| 29/07/2021 | 20:35 Epsom Downs | Mythical Madness | 1.00 | 8.00 | -1.00 | 104.73 |
| 30/07/2021 | 15:20 Bangor On Dee | King Alfonso | 1.00 | 10.00 | -1.00 | 103.73 |
| 31/07/2021 | 20:20 Hamilton | Euro Implosion | 1.00 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 107.73 |
| 01/08/2021 | 13:50 Thirsk | Iur Cinn Tra | 1.00 | 8.00 | -1.00 | 106.73 |
| 02/08/2021 | 14:05 Kempton | First Crowd | 1.00 | 19.00 | -1.00 | 105.73 |
| 03/08/2021 | 16:45 Ffos Las | Triple Nickle | 1.00 | 9.50 | -1.00 | 104.73 |
| 03/08/2021 | 17:15 Ffos Las | Right Action | 1.00 | 5.50 | -1.00 | 103.73 |
| 04/08/2021 | 16:10 Brighton | Chief of Staff | 1.00 | 9.00 | -1.00 | 102.73 |
| 05/08/2021 | 14:50 Redcar | Give It Some Teddy | 1.00 | 6.50 | -1.00 | 101.73 |
| 06/08/2021 | 18:45 Wexford | My Oakclahome | 1.00 | 19.00 | -1.00 | 100.73 |
| 07/08/2021 | 17:30 Newmarket | Lucky Deal | 1.00 | 13.00 | -1.00 | 99.73 |
| 07/08/2021 | 19:35 Lingfield | Roccozaam | 1.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | 98.73 |
| 09/08/2021 | 15:35 Ayr | Chelsea Annie | 1.00 | 6.00 | -1.00 | 97.73 |
| 10/08/2021 | 19:35 Lingfield | Gift Horse | 1.00 | 5.50 | -1.00 | 96.73 |
| 11/08/2021 | 17:50 Kempton | Edge Nibras | 1.00 | 6.50 | -1.00 | 95.73 |
| 12/08/2021 | 14:10 Ffos Las | War Brave | 1.00 | 6.00 | -1.00 | 94.73 |
| 13/08/2021 | 14:00 Wolverhampton | Arrange | 1.00 | 19.00 | -1.00 | 93.73 |
| 14/08/2021 | 16:25 Perth | Caius Marcius | 1.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | 92.73 |
| 15/08/2021 | 16:20 Pontefract | Arabescato | 1.00 | 9.00 | -1.00 | 91.73 |
| 16/08/2021 | 13:45 Catterick | Golden Rainbow | 1.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | 90.73 |
| 17/08/2021 | 19:35 Carlisle | Tellmeyourstory | 1.00 | 13.00 | -1.00 | 89.73 |
| 18/08/2021 | 17:30 Worcester | Duke Of Navan | 1.00 | 8.50 | -1.00 | 88.73 |
Month Six Update
There was a profit of 7 points banked in month six of our OnTheNose review at an ROI of 25%. Although our review had been running for longer than the usual time frame, we had decided to carry on with it until we could make a clear decision on the rating.
Although we were in profit by 20.73 points overall, it was quite a low monthly average so we wanted to see if that would improve in the long-term.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP (before comm.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | 7.0 | 7.0 | -5.37 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | £70.00 | £70.00 | (£53.70) |
| Strike Rate | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| ROI | 25.0% | 25.0% | -19.2% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 31.0% | 27.6% | -32.7% |
| Bank (75pt starting) | 98.23 | 95.73 | 50.46 |
Results
| Date | Race | Selection | Total Stake | EW? | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2021 | 15:55 Chepstow | Tawaafoq | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 87.73 |
| 21/08/2021 | 14:10 Chester | Uber Cool | 1.00 | No | 15.00 | -1.00 | 86.73 |
| 22/08/2021 | 15:20 Brighton | Kendergarten Kop | 1.00 | No | 12.00 | -1.00 | 85.73 |
| 23/08/2021 | 16:47 Brighton | Batchelor Boy | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | 10.00 | 95.73 |
| 24/08/2021 | 14:10 Bangor On Dee | Ocean Cove | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 94.73 |
| 25/08/2021 | 16:20 Musselburgh | Jacattack | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 93.73 |
| 26/08/2021 | 13:45 Chelmsford | Silver Kitten | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 92.73 |
| 27/08/2021 | 15:30 Newmarket | Living Legend | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 91.73 |
| 30/08/2021 | 14:35 Epsom Downs | Secret Handsheikh | 1.00 | No | 8.50 | -1.00 | 90.73 |
| 31/08/2021 | 13:30 Ripon | Little Ted | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | 6.00 | 96.73 |
| 01/09/2021 | 15:00 Lingfield | Red Showgirl | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 95.73 |
| 02/09/2021 | 13:15 Sedgefield | Tiffany Rose | 1.00 | No | 17.00 | -1.00 | 94.73 |
| 03/09/2021 | 15:30 Haydock | Improvise | 1.00 | No | 10.00 | 9.00 | 103.73 |
| 04/09/2021 | 14:05 Kempton | Hierarchy | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | -1.00 | 102.73 |
| 05/09/2021 | 16:50 York | Pivoine | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | -1.00 | 101.73 |
| 06/09/2021 | 14:20 Perth | Staple Head | 1.00 | No | 7.50 | -1.00 | 100.73 |
| 07/09/2021 | 14:15 Leicester | Carbon | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 99.73 |
| 08/09/2021 | 15:40 Uttoxeter | Young Wolf | 1.00 | No | 12.00 | -1.00 | 98.73 |
| 09/09/2021 | 14:35 Chepstow | Tawaafoq | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 97.73 |
| 10/09/2021 | 14:30 Sandown | Farasi Lane | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 96.73 |
| 11/09/2021 | 15:40 Lingfield | Bugle Major | 1.00 | No | 8.50 | -1.00 | 95.73 |
| 12/09/2021 | 14:35 Chelmsford | Stylish Performer | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | 6.00 | 101.73 |
| 13/09/2021 | 15:05 Thirsk | Golden Dove | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | -1.00 | 100.73 |
| 14/09/2021 | 14:55 Yarmouth | Corvair | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 99.73 |
| 15/09/2021 | 16:40 Sandown | Rewired | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | -1.00 | 98.73 |
| 16/09/2021 | 15:35 Ayr | Bringitonboris | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 97.73 |
| 17/09/2021 | 20:00 Kempton | Samphire Coast | 1.00 | No | 19.00 | -1.00 | 96.73 |
| 18/09/2021 | 15:50 Newmarket | Widaad | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | -1.00 | 95.73 |
Month Seven Update
Just after we had decided to extend our review by at least another month, the following month ended up finishing with quite a hefty loss of 14.15 points. This took our overall profit back down to 6.58 points and at that stage we felt it was time to wrap the review up.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP (before comm.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | -14.15 | -14.15 | -18.35 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | (£141.50) | (£141.50) | (£183.50) |
| Strike Rate | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| ROI | -50.5% | -50.5% | -65.5% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 12.1% | 8.8% | -57.2% |
| Bank (75pt starting) | 84.08 | 81.58 | 32.11 |
Results
| Date | Race | Selection | Total Stake | EW? | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2021 | 16:50 Hamilton | Prison Break | 1.00 | No | 13.00 | -1.00 | 94.73 |
| 20/09/2021 | 15:00 Warwick | Locks Corner | 1.00 | No | 10.00 | -1.00 | 93.73 |
| 21/09/2021 | 15:35 Beverley | Dreams Of Thunder | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 92.73 |
| 22/09/2021 | 15:27 Goodwood | Golden Bugle | 1.00 | No | 5.50 | -1.00 | 91.73 |
| 23/09/2021 | 14:45 Newmarket | Harrow | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 90.73 |
| 24/09/2021 | 16:02 Worcester | Pagero | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | 5.50 | 96.23 |
| 25/09/2021 | 15:20 Market Rasen | More Bucks | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 95.23 |
| 27/09/2021 | 17:35 Bath | Lady Elysia | 1.00 | No | 6.50 | -1.00 | 94.23 |
| 28/09/2021 | 15:42 Sedgefield | Speredek | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 93.23 |
| 29/09/2021 | 19:30 Kempton | Los Camachos | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | 3.60 | 96.83 |
| 30/09/2021 | 16:30 Lingfield | Boondoggle | 1.00 | No | 13.00 | -1.00 | 95.83 |
| 01/10/2021 | 15:05 Ascot | First Light | 1.00 | No | 9.00 | -1.00 | 94.83 |
| 02/10/2021 | 14:40 Ascot | Quickthorn | 1.00 | No | 4.50 | -1.00 | 93.83 |
| 03/10/2021 | 16:35 Uttoxeter | Pym | 1.00 | No | 11.00 | -1.00 | 92.83 |
| 04/10/2021 | 15:00 Lingfield | My Frankel | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 91.83 |
| 05/10/2021 | 13:30 Brighton | Baileysgutfeeling | 1.00 | No | 4.50 | 1.75 | 93.58 |
| 06/10/2021 | 13:30 Ludlow | Yeavering Belle | 1.00 | No | 7.00 | -1.00 | 92.58 |
| 07/10/2021 | 13:38 Worcester | Hunny Moon | 1.00 | No | 10.00 | -1.00 | 91.58 |
| 08/10/2021 | 15:15 York | Billhilly | 1.00 | No | 15.00 | -1.00 | 90.58 |
| 09/10/2021 | 13:30 York | Hamaki | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 89.58 |
| 11/10/2021 | 15:50 Yarmouth | Bonita B | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 88.58 |
| 12/10/2021 | 14:05 Leicester | Daiquiri Francais | 1.00 | No | 7.50 | -1.00 | 87.58 |
| 13/10/2021 | 13:30 Nottingham | Clear Day | 1.00 | No | 6.00 | -1.00 | 86.58 |
| 14/10/2021 | 16:30 Brighton | Junoesque | 1.00 | No | 15.00 | -1.00 | 85.58 |
| 15/10/2021 | 16:25 Redcar | Dream A Little | 1.00 | No | 5.00 | -1.00 | 84.58 |
| 16/10/2021 | 13:55 Catterick | Sovereign Moon | 1.00 | No | 17.00 | -1.00 | 83.58 |
| 17/10/2021 | 16:40 Sedgefield | Beach Break | 1.00 | No | 8.00 | -1.00 | 82.58 |
| 18/10/2021 | 14:55 Pontefract | Flint Hill | 1.00 | No | 21.00 | -1.00 | 81.58 |
Review Summary
We gave OnTheNose the best chance to show us what they were made of, extending our review until it went on for a total of seven months. It just seemed that every time there was a winning month, the next one would see us handing it back.
In total, we finished with 6.58 points profit at an ROI of 3.3% from 202 bets.
Key Stats
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | BSP (before comm.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 202 | 202 | 202 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 202.0 | 202.0 | 202.0 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | 9.08 | 6.58 | -42.89 |
| Profit/Loss (£10 stakes) | £90.80 | £65.80 | (£428.90) |
| Strike Rate | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% |
| ROI | 4.5% | 3.3% | -21.2% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 12.1% | 8.8% | -57.2% |
| Bank (75pt starting) | 84.08 | 81.58 | 32.11 |
In fairness, it's quite an achievement even just breaking even against the bookies, but that doesn't make things better for us. It was a far cry from being the Best Tipster of 2020 and we had hoped for much better.
Based on these results we are unable to recommend this service and it has gone down as a "Fail".
