Player Profits is a unique football tipping service from Max Revilo, who you may recognise from his highly successful Sports Spread Betting service that we reviewed earlier this year.
Sports Spread Betting claim to have made a profit of more than 3,000 points to date and having reviewed the service ourselves, that profit figure does appear achievable. So, when Max contacted us about his new service, we were definitely interested.
Player Profits is a fixed odds betting service that takes advantage of the value available in some of the individual player markets. Max has built up a vast database of Premier League and European player statistics and uses it to source bets that should be profitable in the long-term.
The markets include:
- Player passes
- Player shots
- Player shots on target
- Player tackles
- Player assists
- Yellow cards
- Goals
In general, these are markets that most of us don't usually bet on so it was an interesting opportunity for us to delve into something new. There is often value to be found in these lesser known markets, as the odds compilers don't tend to put as much time into their research. They would however, on more popular markets, such as over/under goals or match odds.
Max had set an ambitious target of 50 points profit per month and advised a bank of 50 points to get started. Each bet was to be advised at stakes between 1 and 3 points and we were keen to get started.
Month One Results
We couldn't really have asked for a better start to our review of the Player Profits service, after making a profit of 21.02 points at an ROI of 20.2%. Our bank increased by 42% in just one month and based on using a £1,000 starting bank, our profit worked out at £420.40 so far.
Key Stats - Month One
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 54 | 54 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 104.00 | 104.00 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | 21.56 | 21.02 |
| Profit/Loss (£20 stakes) | £431.20 | £420.40 |
| Average Odds | 2.13 | 2.12 |
| Strike Rate | 57.4% | 57.4% |
| ROI | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 43.1% | 42.0% |
| Bank (50pt starting) | 71.56 | 71.02 |
Results - Month One
| Date | Fixture | Selection | Stake | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2018 | PSV v BATE Borisov | Alternative corners over 10 | 1.00 | 2.20 | -1.00 | 49.00 |
| 29/08/2018 | FC Salzburg v Red Star Belgrade | Alternative corners over 10 | 1.00 | 2.10 | 1.10 | 50.10 |
| A double of the above | 0.50 | 4.62 | -0.50 | 49.60 | ||
| 30/08/2018 | FC Ufa v Rangers | Corners over 10 | 1.00 | 2.10 | 1.10 | 50.70 |
| 30/08/2018 | Burnley v Olympiakos | Corners under 10 | 1.00 | 1.90 | -1.00 | 49.70 |
| A double of the above | 0.50 | 4.00 | -0.50 | 49.20 | ||
| 01/09/2018 | Leicester v Liverpool | Maguire over 38.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 51.69 |
| Gray over 1.5 shots | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 53.89 | ||
| 01/09/2018 | Man City v Newcastle | Kenedy player shots over 0.5 | 3.00 | 1.66 | -3.00 | 50.89 |
| Sterling shots on target over 1.5 | 2.00 | 2.10 | -2.00 | 48.89 | ||
| Clark player passes under 25.5 | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 50.55 | ||
| 02/09/2018 | Cardiff v Arsenal | Ramsey over 1.5 tackles | 3.00 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 53.85 |
| 02/09/2018 | Treble | Cardiff v Arsenal under 12 corners | 3.00 | 3.27 | -3.00 | 50.85 |
| Burnley v Man Utd under 12 corners | 50.85 | |||||
| Watford v Spurs under 11 corners | 50.85 | |||||
| 05/09/2018 | Havant & Waterlooville v Aldershot | Over 10 corners | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 53.05 |
| 06/09/2018 | Germany v France | Corner handicap: Germany -1 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 54.85 |
| 06/09/2018 | Wales v Rep of Ireland | Corner handicap: Wales -1 | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 52.85 |
| 07/09/2018 | Turkey v Russia | Corner match bet: Russia | 1.00 | 2.75 | -1.00 | 51.85 |
| 08/09/2018 | England v Spain | Isco over 55.5 passes | 5.00 | 1.83 | 4.15 | 56.00 |
| Nacho over 1.5 tackles | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | 54.00 | ||
| England team shots over 9.5 | 1.00 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 55.20 | ||
| 08/09/2018 | Bristol Rover v Plymouth | Corner Handicap: Bristol Rovers -2 | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 53.20 |
| 08/09/2018 | Charlton v Wycombe | Corner Handicap: Charlton -2 | 1.00 | 2.20 | -1.00 | 52.20 |
| 09/09/2018 | Oxford v Coventry | Corner match bet: Oxford | 1.00 | 2.05 | 1.05 | 53.25 |
| 09/09/2018 | France v Holland | Corner handicap: Holland | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 51.25 |
| 11/09/2018 | England v Switzerland | Dier under 65.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 53.74 |
| Xhaka over 1.5 tackles | 2.00 | 2.25 | 2.50 | 56.24 | ||
| Over 11.5 home team (England) shots | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 58.04 | ||
| Over 1.5 home team (England) offsides | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 59.04 | ||
| 14/09/2018 | Birmingham v West Brom | Corner Match Bet: Birmingham | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 61.04 |
| 15/09/2018 | Spurs v Liverpool | Trippier over 2.5 tackles | 2.00 | 2.20 | -2.00 | 59.04 |
| Salah over 3.5 shots | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 61.04 | ||
| 15/09/2018 | Watford v Man Utd | Doucoure over 47.5 passes | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 62.04 |
| Valencia over 1.5 tackles | 2.00 | 1.66 | 1.32 | 63.36 | ||
| 16/09/2018 | Wolves v Burnley | Wolves team shots over 13.5 | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 65.02 |
| Wolves team offsides over 2.5 | 2.00 | 2.20 | -2.00 | 63.02 | ||
| 16/09/2018 | Everton v West Ham | Holgate over 49.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 65.51 |
| Arnautovic over 2.5 player shots | 2.00 | 1.90 | -2.00 | 63.51 | ||
| 17/09/2018 | Southampton v Brighton | Stephens over 45.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 66.00 |
| Lemina over 39.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.72 | 2.16 | 68.16 | ||
| 18/09/2018 | Liverpool v PSG | Liverpool over 5.5 team shots on target | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 69.96 |
| Sadio Mane over 2.5 player shots | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 71.76 | ||
| 19/09/2018 | Man City v Lyon | Sterling over 1.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | 69.76 |
| 19/09/2018 | Young Boys v Man Utd | Steve Von Bergen over 2.5 tackles | 1.00 | 2.50 | -1.00 | 68.76 |
| 21/09/2018 | Wigan v Bristol City | Corner Match Bet: Bristol City | 1.00 | 2.60 | 1.60 | 70.36 |
| 22/09/2018 | Fulham v Watford | Seri over 70.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 72.02 |
| Schurrle over 3.5 shots | 2.00 | 2.10 | -2.00 | 70.02 | ||
| 22/09/2018 | Brighton v Spurs | Knockaert over 1.5 shots | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 71.68 |
| Brighton team shots on target over 3.5 | 2.00 | 2.20 | 2.40 | 74.08 | ||
| 23/09/2018 | West Ham v Chelsea | West Ham team shots on target over 3.5 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | 72.08 |
| 23/09/2018 | Arsenal v Everton | Aubameyang player shots on target over 1.5 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | 70.08 |
| 25/09/2018 | Man Utd v Derby | Bradley Johnson under 44.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 68.08 |
| Mason Mount over 1.5 shots | 2.00 | 2.37 | 2.74 | 70.82 | ||
| 26/09/2018 | Liverpool v Chelsea | Sturridge over 1.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | 68.82 |
| Shaqiri over 2.5 shots | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 71.02 |
Month Two Results
We finished month two with a small loss of 3.71 points after experiencing a couple of bad losing runs. However, thanks to a great start we were still in profit overall by 17.31 points at the available odds.
Considering it was quite a poor set of results we were pleased to see that the service was able to make a quick comeback towards the end and hopefully were hoping to see the service fully recovered during the next month.
Key Stats - Month Two
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 39 | 39 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 89.00 | 89.00 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | -3.71 | -3.71 |
| Profit/Loss (£20 stakes) | -£74.20 | -£74.20 |
| Average Odds | 2.13 | 2.13 |
| Strike Rate | 48.7% | 48.7% |
| ROI | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 35.7% | 34.6% |
| Bank (50pt starting) | 67.85 | 67.31 |
Results - Month Two
| Date | Fixture | Selection | Stake | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2018 | Sheff Wed v Leeds | Corner match bet: Leeds | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 72.82 |
| 29/09/2018 | West Ham v Man Utd | Noble over 45.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 74.48 |
| 29/09/2018 | Chelsea v Liverpool | Milner over 46.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 76.97 |
| Salah over 1.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.25 | 2.50 | 79.47 | ||
| 01/10/2018 | Bournemouth v Crystal Palace | Tomkins over 34.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 81.13 |
| Zaha over 1.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.50 | -2.00 | 79.13 | ||
| 02/10/2018 | Man Utd v Valencia | Utd team shots on target over 5.5 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | 77.13 |
| 03/10/2018 | Napoli v Liverpool | Koulibaly over 60.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 79.62 |
| Allan over 51.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 82.11 | ||
| 03/10/2018 | Spurs v Barca | Coutinho over 54.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 80.11 |
| 05/10/2018 | Brighton v West Ham | March over 26.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 78.11 |
| Knockaert player shots over 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.90 | -2.00 | 76.11 | ||
| 07/10/2018 | Liverpool v Man City | Salah shots on target over 1.5 | 2.00 | 2.25 | -2.00 | 74.11 |
| Ageuro over 1.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.37 | -2.00 | 72.11 | ||
| 10/10/2018 | Italy v Ukraine | Corner Handicap: Ukraine 3 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | 70.11 |
| 12/10/2018 | Croatia v England | Dejan Lovren over 1.5 tackles | 2.00 | 2.20 | -2.00 | 68.11 |
| England over 3.5 team shots on target | 3.00 | 1.83 | -3.00 | 65.11 | ||
| 13/10/2018 | Acc Stanley/Cov v Wyc/Fleetwood v Shrews | Corner match bet treble | 1.00 | 7.98 | -1.00 | 64.11 |
| 15/10/2018 | Spain v England | Match shots on target over 8.5 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 65.91 |
| Spain team shots on target over 5.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 67.51 | ||
| 19/10/2018 | Sheff Wed v Middlesborough | Corner Match Bet: Sheff Wed | 1.00 | 2.50 | -1.00 | 66.51 |
| 20/10/2018 | Chelsea v Man Utd | Pogba passes over 45.5 | 3.00 | 1.83 | -3.00 | 63.51 |
| Pogba player shots over 1.5 | 2.00 | 1.72 | -2.00 | 61.51 | ||
| 20/10/2018 | Huddersfield v Liverpool | Henderson over 54.5 passes | 5.00 | 1.72 | -5.00 | 56.51 |
| Liverpool shots on target over 5.5 | 3.00 | 1.72 | -3.00 | 53.51 | ||
| 21/10/2018 | Everton v Crystal Palace | Milivojevic over 51.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 51.51 |
| Townsend over 0.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 53.71 | ||
| 22/10/2018 | Arsenal v Leicester | Vardy over 2.5 shots | 2.00 | 2.20 | -2.00 | 51.71 |
| Leicester team shots over 9.5 | 3.00 | 1.83 | -3.00 | 48.71 | ||
| 23/10/2018 | Man Utd v Juventus | Dybala over 2.5 shots | 2.00 | 2.25 | 2.50 | 51.21 |
| Juventus team shots on target over 5.5 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | 49.21 | ||
| 23/10/2018 | Shakhtar Donetsk v Man City | Ismaily over 33.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 51.70 |
| Stepanenko over 38.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 53.36 | ||
| 24/10/2018 | PSV v Spurs | Kane over 1.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.30 | 2.60 | 55.96 |
| 24/10/2018 | Liverpool v Red Star Belgrade | Van Dijk under 107.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 58.45 |
| Salah over 2.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.50 | 3.00 | 61.45 | ||
| 26/10/2018 | QPR v Aston Villa | Corner Match Bet: Aston Villa | 2.00 | 2.05 | 2.10 | 63.55 |
| 27/10/2018 | Leicester v West Ham | Ndidi over 52.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 65.15 |
| Maddison over 1.5 shots | 3.00 | 1.72 | 2.16 | 67.31 |
Month Three Results
We completed our three month review and finished with a total profit of 22.97 points at an ROI of 8.2% at the available odds. That works out as a profit of £459.40 to £20 stakes, based on using a starting bank of £1,000 divided into 50 points.
Results - Month Three
| Date | Fixture | Selection | Stake | Available Odds | P/L | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2018 | Crystal Palace v Arsenal | Ozil over 1.5 shots | 2.00 | 2.10 | -2.00 | 65.31 |
| 28/10/2018 | Man Utd v Everton | Pogba over 65.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 67.80 |
| 29/10/2018 | Spurs v Man City | Fernandinho under 69.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 69.46 |
| Kane over 1.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.62 | -2.00 | 67.46 | ||
| Spurs team shots on target over 4.5 | 2.00 | 2.37 | -2.00 | 65.46 | ||
| 31/10/2018 | Chelsea v Derby | Tomori over 35.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 67.12 |
| Keogh over 38.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 68.78 | ||
| Mount over 1.5 shots | 3.00 | 1.90 | 2.70 | 71.48 | ||
| 02/11/2018 | Aston Villa v Bolton | Corner Match Bet: Bolton | 1.00 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 76.48 |
| 03/11/2018 | Bournemouth v Man Utd | Ake over 46.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 78.14 |
| 03/11/2018 | Arsenal v Liverpool | Salah over 1.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.25 | -2.00 | 76.14 |
| Match shots on target over 9.5 | 2.00 | 2.10 | -2.00 | 74.14 | ||
| 04/11/2018 | Chelsea v Crystal Palace | Milivojevic over 42.5 passes | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 76.34 |
| 05/11/2018 | Huddersfield v Fulham | Schurrle shots on target over 0.5 | 2.00 | 1.72 | -2.00 | 74.34 |
| Huddersfield team shots on target over 4.5 | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 72.34 | ||
| 06/11/2018 | Red Star v Liverpool | Van Dijk under 87.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | -3.00 | 69.34 |
| Liverpool team shots under 21.5 | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 67.34 | ||
| 06/11/2018 | Spurs v PSV | Moura over 1.5 shots on target | 2.00 | 2.10 | -2.00 | 65.34 |
| 07/11/2018 | Juve v Man Utd | Bonucci over 68.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.61 | -3.00 | 62.34 |
| Pjanic over 71.5 passes | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.49 | 64.83 | ||
| 09/11/2018 | Sheff Utd v Sheff Wed | Corner Match Bet: Sheff Wed | 1.00 | 8.00 | -1.00 | 63.83 |
| 10/11/2018 | Cardiff v Brighton | Dunk over 36.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 61.83 |
| Duffy over 37.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 63.49 | ||
| 10/11/2018 | Crystal Palace v Spurs | Milivojevic over 47.5 passes | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | 61.49 |
| Alderwiereld over 1.5 tackles | 2.00 | 2.10 | -2.00 | 59.49 | ||
| 11/11/2018 | Chelsea v Everton | Jorginho over 102.5 passes | 5.00 | 2.20 | -5.00 | 54.49 |
| 11/11/2018 | Man City v Man Utd | Fernandinho under 67.5 passes | 2.00 | 2.10 | -2.00 | 52.49 |
| 15/11/2018 | England v USA | England team shots on target over 6.5 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 54.69 |
| 16/11/2018 | Holland v France | Corner Match Bet: Holland | 2.00 | 2.30 | 2.60 | 57.29 |
| 18/11/2018 | England v Croatia | Kane shots on target over 1.5 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.20 | 59.49 |
| 18/11/2018 | Switzerland v Belgium | Corner Match Bet: Switzerland | 2.00 | 2.40 | 2.80 | 62.29 |
| 20/11/2018 | Scotland v Israel | Corner Match Bet: Israel | 1.00 | 6.50 | 5.50 | 67.79 |
| 23/11/2018 | Ipswich v West Brom | Corner Match Bet: Ipswich | 2.00 | 2.30 | 2.60 | 70.39 |
| 24/11/2018 | Spurs v Chelsea | Eriksen over 40.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 68.39 |
| Alli over 1.5 shots | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 70.39 | ||
| 25/11/2018 | Bournemouth v Arsenal | Ake over 40.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 72.05 |
| Cook over 36.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 73.71 | ||
| 25/11/2018 | Wolves v Huddersfield | Neves over 60.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 71.71 |
| 27/11/2018 | Lyon v Man City | Ndombele over 44.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 73.37 |
| Lyon team shots on target over 3.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 74.97 | ||
| 27/11/2018 | Man Utd v Young Boys | Sow over 43.5 passes | 2.00 | 1.83 | -2.00 | 72.97 |
Key Stats - Overall
| Advised Odds | Available Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Bets | 134 | 134 |
| Total Stakes (pts) | 280.00 | 280.00 |
| Profit/Loss (pts) | 23.51 | 22.97 |
| Profit/Loss (£20 stakes) | £470.20 | £459.40 |
| Average Odds | 2.21 | 2.19 |
| Strike Rate | 53.0% | 53.0% |
| ROI | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Overall Bank Growth | 47.0% | 45.9% |
| Bank (50pt starting) | 73.51 | 72.97 |
Summary
Player Profits was an interesting and unique service to follow and although we did finish with a profit overall, (of £459.40 to £20 stakes) it was not all plain sailing.
On a couple of occasions we experienced losing runs and handed back most, if not all, of the profit that had been generated so far. It was quickly recovered in both cases but it's something be aware of, as just looking at the results at the end of each month doesn't clearly show the swings in profit that we encountered.
This is a service worth keeping an eye on and given that it has delivered a profit we will be awarding a pass rating.
Both Max's services are different to anything else that we have come across before and focus some of the less mainstream betting markets. Player Profits focuses mainly on the individual player markets, for example Player Passes, Player Shots, Player Tackles and there have also been quite a few bets advised on the Corner markets.
| Review Stats | +22.97pts profit, 8.2% ROI, 53% SR |
| Stakes | Advised between 0.5 – 5.00 points |
| Starting bank | 50 points |
| Average no. bets | Approx. 40-50 per month |
| Time of emails | Morning 9.00-10.00am |
| Price | £25 per month |
| Rating | Pass |
