Value Backing Naps Review: Daily Horse Racing Tips

Written by Laura Turner

Value Backing Naps Review

Carl Nicholson has earnt pass ratings for several of his services in the past, but will Value Backing Naps be just as good?

His ITV Racing Tips service produced some fantastic results in our three month review, with a profit of 51.55 points at an ROI of 29.8%. 

In his former "Value Backing" service he mainly tipped big priced value selections, but he has recently decided to refine his selection process. He is now taking a different approach to reflect the horse race punting landscape, with shorter priced selections and a higher strike rate.

Introducing Value Backing Naps, a service offering a daily "Nap" bet and a "Next Best" selection. 

In the first five months of this new format, he has reported a profit of 54.18 points and 50.28 points at Betfair SP with a 45% strike rate.

The staking is either 2 points win or 1 point each-way for the main selection and 1.5 points win or 0.75 points each-way for the next strongest.

Tips are sent out around 10am each morning so there's plenty of time to get bets on. 

We will be following the service over the next few months and will report back each month with an update of our results.


Before you continue...

Our Value Backing Naps review ended with a fail rating.

Please feel free to continue reading the full review below, though we recommend checking out some of the betting system reviews which ended in a pass instead. There's a small selection below or you can click here for the full list.

Bet Hero Review: Value Betting Software
During my Bet Hero review, I was able to uncover tons of markets where bookmakers have mispriced the odds and was able to make £866.97 profit at an ROI of 8.56%.
Crypto With Kash Review: Cryptocurrency Advice Service
Crypto With Kash is a cryptocurrency recommendation service, delivering a fortnightly newsletter with the latest portfolio advice. Read my review here.
Each Way Value Tips Review: Horse Racing Betting Service
During my Each Way Value Tips review, the tipster delivered an impressive 108.69 points profit, hitting an ROI of 12.4% over a period of four months.

Month One Results

After one month of betting, our Value Backing Naps review almost broke even with a small loss of 0.83 points, which worked out as 1.7% of our starting bank.

There were a few near misses with each-way bets just missing out on the win. Unfortunately, as the odds were below 5/1 on the bets that placed we still made a small loss from them. However, it did help to keep losses down.

The each-way bets seemed to simmer out towards the end of the month, with the final week of tips all being straight win bets. This improved results dramatically with a 16.95 point profit in one week.

Key Stats

Advised OddsAvailable Odds
Number of Bets6767
Total Stakes (pts)70.570.5
Profit/Loss (pts)-0.83-0.83
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)-£8.30-£8.30
Strike Rate25.4%25.4%
ROI-1.2%-1.2%
Overall Bank Growth-1.7%-1.7%
Bank (50pt starting)49.1749.17

Results

DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
01/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 9.00Bitcoin Passion1.00Yes5.00-1.0049.00
01/04/2020Will Rodgers Downs 7.15Ranger Bob1.00Yes3.50-1.0048.00
02/04/2020Gulf Stream Park 20.03Suz1.00Yes3.25-0.2847.72
03/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 17.24Brandt1.00Yes8.004.2051.92
03/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 17.53Free Dancer1.00Yes4.50-0.1551.77
03/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 20.24Ria Munk1.00Yes5.00-1.0050.77
04/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 19.00Double That1.00Yes7.50-1.0049.77
04/04/2020Gulfstream 19.15Nothing For Free1.00Yes6.00-1.0048.77
04/04/2020Gulfstream 23.24Trilby1.00Yes5.00-0.1048.67
05/04/2020Gulfstream 21.41Shamrocket1.00Yes5.50-0.0548.62
05/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 17.25Lord Byron1.00Yes4.50-0.1548.47
05/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 18.19She's Got Moves1.00Yes5.00-1.0047.47
06/04/2020Fonner Park 22.27Dreaming Type1.00Yes4.50-1.0046.47
06/04/2020Fonner Park 00.42Trask1.00Yes5.00-0.1046.37
06/04/2020Fonner Park 01.36Choir Director1.00Yes6.50-1.0045.37
07/04/2020Fonner Park 01.09Forze Mau1.00Yes6.00-1.0044.37
07/04/2020Will Rodgers Downs 20.45What Thinking1.00Yes4.50-1.0043.37
08/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 17.30The Kahn1.00Yes5.00-0.1043.27
08/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 19.00Shenu Shenume1.00Yes4.50-1.0042.27
08/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 20.30Ima Wildcat1.00Yes7.50-1.0041.27
09/04/2020Gulfstream 9.36Volubile1.00No3.502.5043.77
10/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 19.53Bats Chance1.00No4.33-1.0042.77
11/04/2020Gulfstream 22.54Pacific Gale1.00Yes5.00-1.0041.77
12/04/2020Gulfstream Park 10.32Blazing Desire1.00No2.501.5043.27
13/04/2020Fonner Park 22.27Ta Kela Warning1.00Yes5.00-0.1043.17
13/04/2020Fonner Park 01.09Honey Hearts1.00Yes4.33-1.0042.17
14/04/2020Will Rodgers Downs 20.15Dak Da Man1.00No3.25-1.0041.17
14/04/2020Will Rodgers Downs 21.15Cairo King1.00No3.00-1.0040.17
15/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 20.00I'm That Bird1.00Yes6.500.0540.22
16/04/2020Gulfstream 19.39Grey Manners1.00Yes4.33-1.0039.22
17/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs 18.21La Belle De Course1.00Yes8.00-1.0038.22
18/04/2020Gulfstream 9.21Vincero1.00Yes9.00-1.0037.22
19/04/2020Gulfstream 18.24Nowitna River1.00Yes6.50-1.0036.22
19/04/2020Gulfstream 20.53Denver1.00Yes15.00-1.0035.22
20/04/2020Will Rogers Downs 21.45Spendaholic1.00No4.50-1.0034.22
20/04/2020Will Rogers Downs 23.15She's All Wolfe1.00No3.002.0036.22
21/04/2020Will Rogers Downs 20.15Texas Long Bow1.00No3.75-1.0035.22
21/04/2020Will Rogers Downs 20.45Indian Gem1.00No4.50-1.0034.22
21/04/2020Will Rogers Downs 21.15Southgate1.00No2.75-1.0033.22
21/04/2020Will Rodgers Downs 23.15Quality Rocket1.00No5.00-1.0032.22
22/04/2020Fonner Park 22.54Gaby Vee1.00No3.50-1.0031.22
22/04/2020Fonner Park 23.21Langs Legend1.00No3.00-1.0030.22
22/04/2020Will Rogers Downs 19.15Kottoncandy Kisses1.00No4.33-1.0029.22
23/04/2020Gulfstream 21.15Dr Edgar1.00No4.50-1.0028.22
23/04/2020Gulfstream 22.47Retro Street1.00No6.00-1.0027.22
24/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 5Lady Breanna1.00No4.503.5030.72
24/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 8Bueno Bueno Bueno2.00No2.503.0033.72
24/04/2020Gulfstream Race 6Lady Fiorella1.00No3.25-1.0032.72
24/04/2020Los Alamitos Race 2Sharon's Fury1.50No2.502.2534.97
24/04/2020Los Alamitos Race 4Scouted1.00No4.00-1.0033.97
25/04/2020Gulfstream Race 4The Mighty Judge1.00No3.752.7536.72
25/04/2020Gulfstream Race 6Smack1.00No5.50-1.0035.72
25/04/2020Gulfstream Race 10Vegas Kitten1.00No4.33-1.0034.72
25/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 5Professional1.00No5.004.0038.72
26/04/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 8Tiz Samurai1.00No4.33-1.0037.72
26/04/2020Gulfstream Race 1Oak Bluffs1.00No3.75-1.0036.72
26/04/2020Gulfstream Race 4R Kiss Em Goodbye1.00No3.502.5039.22
27/04/2020Will Rodgers Downs Race 6Rocky Boy Indian1.00No3.502.5041.72
27/04/2020Will Rodgers Downs Race 7Ten Count Out1.00No4.503.5045.22
27/04/2020Will Rodgers Downs Race 8Blue Moonrise2.00No2.102.2047.42
27/04/2020Will Rodgers Downs Race 9Three Cords1.50No2.75-1.5045.92
28/04/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 4Covington Quality1.00No3.752.7548.67
28/04/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 10Way Too Cute1.00No3.00-1.0047.67
29/04/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 6Golden Lullabye1.00No3.002.0049.67
29/04/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 8Spendaholic1.00No2.50-1.0048.67
30/04/2020Gulfstream Race 3Monmouth Dr1.50No2.001.5050.17
30/04/2020Gulfstream Race 5Bimini1.00No2.75-1.0049.17

Month Two Results

Month two of our Value Backing Naps review ended with a loss of 6.01 points at the available odds. Things weren't quite going to plan and our bank had decreased by 13.7% in two months.

We hoped that the return of UK and Irish racing would see the service get back on track.

Key Stats

Advised OddsAvailable Odds
Number of Bets7272
Total Stakes (pts)81.081.0
Profit/Loss (pts)-6.21-6.01
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)-£62.10-£60.10
Strike Rate26.4%26.4%
ROI-7.7%-7.4%
Overall Bank Growth-14.1%-13.7%
Bank (50pt starting)42.9743.17

Results

DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
01/05/2020Gulfstream Race 9Snap Hook1.00No2.75-1.0048.17
02/05/2020Gulfstream Race 7Lookin At Roses1.00No5.00-1.0047.17
02/05/2020Gulfstream Race 12Britesideoftheroad1.00No5.00-1.0046.17
02/05/2020Los Alamitos Race 4Appreciated1.00No3.25-1.0045.17
02/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 7D'craziness1.00No6.00-1.0044.17
02/05/2020Tampa Bay Down Race 8Lucky Runs North1.50No3.50-1.5042.67
03/05/2020Gulfstream Race 5Wild One Forever1.00No5.50-1.0041.67
03/05/2020Gulfstream Race 10Outshine1.00No5.004.0045.67
03/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 5Projected1.50No2.632.4548.12
04/05/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 9Potomic1.00No3.00-1.0047.12
05/05/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 3Speaker Van1.00No3.252.2549.37
06/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 1Dig In1.00No3.50-1.0048.37
07/05/2020Gulfstream Race 3Take Charge Again1.00No3.002.0050.37
08/05/2020Gulfstream Race 9Frank First1.00No4.50-1.0049.37
09/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 5Sunset Empire1.00No3.50-1.0048.37
09/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 6Colonels Daughter1.00No3.75-1.0047.37
10/05/2020Gulfstream Race 5La Tres Jolie1.00No4.503.5050.87
11/05/2020Will Rodgers Downs Race 10Buck Duane1.00No3.75-1.0049.87
11/05/2020Fonner Park Race 6Three Footer1.00No4.003.0052.87
12/05/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 10Rubber Bandman1.00No4.50-1.0051.87
13/05/2020Fonner Park Race 7You're The Reason1.00No6.00-1.0050.87
13/05/2020Fonner Park Race 8Kurious Kennedy1.50No4.505.2556.12
13/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 1Happy Wanderer1.00No3.002.0058.12
14/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 7Moonshine Annie1.00No3.50-1.0057.12
14/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 9Eldritch1.00No4.50-1.0056.12
14/05/2020Gulfstream Race 5Stone Hands1.50No4.00-1.5054.62
15/05/2020Santa Anita Race 2Miss Ryleigh1.00No4.00-1.0053.62
15/05/2020Santa Anita Race 7Civil Suit1.00No2.881.8855.50
15/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 4Lord Byron1.00No4.50-1.0054.50
15/05/2020Gulfstream Race 4Sagamore Mischief1.00No3.25-1.0053.50
16/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 1Mr Magico1.00No3.25-1.0052.50
16/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 7Into The South1.00No4.00-1.0051.50
16/05/2020Santa Anita Race 1Street Image1.00No6.00-1.0050.50
16/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 1Born To Grove1.00No2.63-1.0049.50
17/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 7Mommy Rose1.00No3.00-1.0048.50
17/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 9Oiseau De Guerre1.00No4.00-1.0047.50
19/05/2020Fonner Park Race 4Golden Bullet1.00No2.88-1.0046.50
19/05/2020Fonner Park Race 8Rulethenight1.00No4.50-1.0045.50
19/05/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 4R V T Thunder Road1.00No3.752.7548.25
19/05/2020Will Rogers Downs Race Race 7Spirit Of Caledon1.50No2.382.0750.32
20/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 9Janganda1.00No2.751.7552.07
20/05/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 2Nacogdoches1.00No4.33-1.0051.07
20/05/2020Will Rogers Race 3Moro Boss1.00No3.25-1.0050.07
20/05/2020Will Rogers Downs Race 10Fayette Warrior1.50No2.20-1.5048.57
21/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 5Muskora1.00No3.75-1.0047.57
22/05/2020Remington Park Race 3Cjs Rockhard N Ready1.00No4.503.5051.07
22/05/2020Santa Anita Race 2Hot On The Trail1.00No4.50-1.0050.07
22/05/2020Santa Anita Race 7Music To My Ears1.00No3.25-1.0049.07
22/05/2020Tampa Race 2Mast Cove1.00No4.00-1.0048.07
22/05/2020Tampa Race 3Melissani1.00No4.50-1.0047.07
23/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 4Lifeline1.00No3.002.0049.07
23/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 6Stars In The Skys1.00No2.88-1.0048.07
23/05/2020Gulfstream Race 2Wilshire Diamond1.00No4.00-1.0047.07
23/05/2020Santa Anita Race 7Lovely Lilia1.00No4.00-1.0046.07
23/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 1W W Archie1.00No2.75-1.0045.07
24/05/2020Lone Star Race 3Texas Music Box1.00No4.003.0048.07
24/05/2020Lone Star Race 4Something Super1.00No3.25-1.0047.07
24/05/2020Santa Anita Race 3Foreign Protocol1.00No3.25-1.0046.07
25/05/2020Golden Gate Race 2Continental Union1.50No2.10-1.5044.57
25/05/2020Golden Gate Race 6Thanks1.00No3.25-1.0043.57
25/05/2020Gulfstream Race 7Ms Meshak2.00No2.202.4045.97
27/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 2Sunset Empire2.00No2.88-2.0043.97
28/05/2020Gulfstream Park Race 8Midtown Rose2.00No2.50-2.0041.97
29/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 7Proposition1.00No3.00-1.0040.97
29/05/2020Santa Anita Race 7Lighthouse1.00No4.003.0043.97
29/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 7Violent Speed1.00No5.00-1.0042.97
29/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 8Brilliant Bird1.00No4.503.5046.47
30/05/2020Golden Gate Fields Race 8Coco Bee1.00No10.00-1.0045.47
30/05/2020Gulfstream Race 2Fulmini1.00No3.50-1.0044.47
30/05/2020Tampa Bay Downs Race 2I'm A G Six2.00No2.102.2046.67
30/05/2020Santa Anita Race 7Stela Star1.50No3.00-1.5045.17
31/05/2020Santa Anita Race 1Fay Dan2.00No3.00-2.0043.17

Month Three Results

With UK and Irish racing back up and running, the Value Backing Naps service had reverted back to their expertise and were no longer sending out tips for US racing. 

We weren't quite sure what to expect with results after the break to racing, but the service managed to break even. At the odds that we could find, we made a small profit of 1.25 points.

Key Stats

Advised OddsAvailable Odds
Number of Bets7474
Total Stakes (pts)81.581.5
Profit/Loss (pts)0.001.25
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)£0.00£12.50
Strike Rate21.6%21.6%
ROI0.0%1.5%
Overall Bank Growth-14.1%-11.2%
Bank (50pt starting)42.9644.42

Results

DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
01/06/2020Newcastle 3.55Oakenshield1.00No7.006.0049.17
01/06/2020Newcastle 5.40Thibaan1.00No3.50-1.0048.17
01/06/2020Newcastle 6.15Wise Glory1.00No4.00-1.0047.17
02/06/2020Newcastle 1.20Fifth Position1.00No3.75-1.0046.17
02/06/2020Newcastle 2.30Mubakker1.00No3.502.5048.67
02/06/2020Kempton 2.10Mercenary Rose1.00No7.00-1.0047.67
03/06/2020Yarmouth 12.45Celestran1.00No3.752.7550.42
03/06/2020Yarmouth 4.15Maydanny1.00No5.004.0054.42
03/06/2020Yarmouth 5.25Ikebana1.00No6.50-1.0053.42
04/06/2020Newcastle 1.00Shoot To Win1.00No6.00-1.0052.42
04/06/2020Newcastle 3.20My Kinda Day1.00No7.00-1.0051.42
04/06/2020Newcastle 6.15Sea Of Marmoon1.00No4.003.0054.42
04/06/2020Newmarket 5.20Magic J1.00No3.25-1.0053.42
05/06/2020Lingfield 5.35Jovial2.00No2.002.0055.42
05/06/2020Newmarket 4.10Edinburgh Castle1.00No3.50-1.0054.42
06/06/2020Newcastle 4.30Precocity1.00No3.50-1.0053.42
06/06/2020Lingfield 4.55Equipped1.00No4.00-1.0052.42
06/06/2020Lingfield 6.40Motamayiz1.50No2.75-1.0051.42
06/06/2020Lingfield 8.25Isayalittleprayer1.00No4.33-1.0050.42
07/06/2020Haydock 1.30Oleksander1.00No6.00-1.0049.42
07/06/2020Haydock 6.10Maori Knight1.00No3.50-1.0048.42
07/06/2020Newmarket 5.55Al Maysan1.00No5.00-1.0047.42
07/06/2020Lingfield 5.45Pretty Lady1.50No3.00-1.5045.92
08/06/2020Haydock 2.45Queen Gamrah1.00No5.50-1.0044.92
08/06/2020Haydock 3.15Arch Moon1.00No4.003.0047.92
08/06/2020Haydock 4.25Aquileo1.00No5.00-1.0046.92
08/06/2020Haydock 4.55Selecto1.00No10.00-1.0045.92
09/06/2020Haydock 2.15Glen Force1.00No7.00-1.0044.92
09/06/2020Wolverhampton 6.30Deposit1.00No7.00-1.0043.92
10/06/2020Yarmouth 7.45Capla Berry1.00No4.503.5047.42
10/06/2020Pontefract 4.20Shauyra1.00No3.75-1.0046.42
10/06/2020Wolverhampton 2.10Rocking Reg1.00No7.00-1.0045.42
10/06/2020Kempton 9.00Anno Lucis1.00No6.50-1.0044.42
11/06/2020Lingfield 5.40Intrepid Italian1.00No4.003.0047.42
11/06/2020Yarmouth 5.30You Owe Me1.50No3.00-1.5045.92
12/06/2020Wolverhampton 3.00Alianne1.00No5.50-1.0044.92
13/06/2020Doncaster 12.30Gossip1.50No3.50-1.5043.42
13/06/2020Doncaster 4.30Favourite Moon2.00No2.25-2.0041.42
14/06/2020Doncaster 4.15Woodhouse2.00No2.10-2.0039.42
15/06/2020Kempton 4.30Almareekh1.00No4.50-1.0038.42
16/06/2020Thirsk 1.30Kilig1.00No4.50-1.0037.42
16/06/2020Thirsk 2.40Dreamseller1.50No4.505.2542.67
16/06/2020Thirsk 4.50Almurr1.00No4.50-1.0041.67
17/06/2020Beverley 1.25Burtonwood1.00No8.007.0048.67
18/06/2020Redcar 8.30Raashdy1.00No6.00-1.0047.67
20/06/2020Ripon 6.10Paddy Power1.00No6.50-1.0046.67
20/06/2020Ripon 6.40Bossipop1.00No6.005.0051.67
20/06/2020Ripon 8.10Gulf Of Poets1.00No10.00-1.0050.67
21/06/2020Wolverhampton 2.05One One Seven1.00No4.33-1.0049.67
21/06/2020Wolverhampton 2.35Robben Rainbow1.00Yes23.00-1.0048.67
21/06/2020Redcar 3.15Arbalet1.50No3.75-1.5047.17
21/06/2020Redcar 3.45Kermouster1.00No9.50-1.0046.17
22/06/2020Thirsk 1.50Sir Havelock1.50No4.33-1.5044.67
22/06/2020Ayr 5.20Club Wexford1.00No5.00-1.0043.67
22/06/2020Windsor 6.30Iconic Knight1.00No8.00-1.0042.67
23/06/2020Beverley 2.15Le Chiffre1.00No7.506.5049.17
23/06/2020Beverley 4.15Ideal Candy1.00No6.00-1.0048.17
23/06/2020Chepstow 6.10Gambon1.00No8.50-1.0047.17
23/06/2020Kempton 5.55Big Lachie1.00No5.00-1.0046.17
24/06/2020Hamilton 3.20Midnite Bride1.00No9.00-1.0045.17
24/06/2020Haydock 1.40She Can Boogie1.00No8.00-1.0044.17
24/06/2020Haydock 3.40High Flying Bird1.00No11.00-1.0043.17
24/06/2020Haydock 5.50Pot Of Paint1.00No9.00-1.0042.17
25/06/2020Leicester 6.55Aegeus1.00No6.00-1.0041.17
25/06/2020Haydock 12.45Ned Pepper1.00No7.50-1.0040.17
25/06/2020Haydock 3.45San Sebastian1.00No10.00-1.0039.17
26/06/2020Doncaster 1.50Jaaneh2.00No4.50-2.0037.17
27/06/2020Redcar 2.50Hesslewood1.00No5.50-1.0036.17
27/06/2020Newcastle 4.10Contrebasse1.00No8.50-1.0035.17
28/06/2020Newmarket 5.00Charlie D1.00No4.503.5038.67
29/06/2020Yarmouth 2.30Blackheath1.00No3.752.7541.42
29/06/2020Windsor 3.20Poets Dance1.00No4.00-1.0040.42
29/06/2020Windsor 5.20Severance1.00No6.00-1.0039.42
30/06/2020Doncaster 2.00Wentworth Falls1.00No6.005.0044.42

Month Four Results

It was a good month for Value Backing Naps and things seemed to be settling down after the break in UK and Irish racing. The service delivered 12.33 points profit at the available odds in month four and overall our bank was up by 13.5%.

Key Stats

Advised OddsAvailable Odds
Number of Bets6363
Total Stakes (pts)75.575.5
Profit/Loss (pts)11.8312.33
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)£118.30£123.30
Strike Rate20.6%20.6%
ROI15.7%16.3%
Overall Bank Growth9.6%13.5%
Bank (50pt starting)54.7956.75

Results

DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
01/07/2020Musselburgh 2.20Muntadab1.00No3.75-1.0043.42
02/07/2020Catterick 12.45Farewell Kiss1.00No4.33-1.0042.42
02/07/2020Catterick 1.20Champagne Bob1.00No4.50-1.0041.42
02/07/2020Bath 3.10Devils Roc1.50No3.25-1.5039.92
03/07/2020Wolverhampton 6.00Hawafez1.00No4.50-1.0038.92
04/07/2020Yarmouth 7.25Tsar2.00No2.252.5041.42
05/07/2020Haydock 12.30Bungee Jump1.00No5.50-1.0040.42
05/07/2020Haydock 3.50Lincoln Park1.00No6.50-1.0039.42
06/07/2020Ayr 1.40John Kirkup1.00No9.00-1.0038.42
06/07/2020Uttoxeter 3.30Minellacelebration1.00No7.506.5044.92
07/07/2020Newton Abbot 4.50Lord Bryan1.00No7.00-1.0043.92
08/07/2020Ripon 1.40Stockbridge Cap1.00No4.50-1.0042.92
09/07/2020Newmarket 12.45Pass The Vino1.00No5.50-1.0041.92
10/07/2020Newmarket 12.10Group One Power1.00No3.00-1.0040.92
10/07/2020Newmarket 12.45Junius Brutus1.00No4.50-1.0039.92
11/07/2020Ascot 1.30Island Brave1.00No11.00-1.0038.92
12/07/2020Lingfield 2.35Equipped1.00No6.00-1.0037.92
12/07/2020Hamilton 2.25Multellie1.00No6.50-1.0036.92
13/07/2020Ayr 12.40Northern Queen1.50No4.503.5040.42
13/07/2020Kempton 5.10Latin Knight1.00No10.00-1.0039.42
13/07/2020Kempton 5.40Ahorsecalledwanda1.00Yes19.00-1.0038.42
13/07/2020Kempton 8.15Late Arrival1.00No6.50-1.0037.42
14/07/2020Bath 3.10Luscifer1.00No7.50-1.0036.42
14/07/2020Southwell 4.30Cybalko1.00No8.00-1.0035.42
14/07/2020Ayr 8.00Bavardages1.00No5.50-1.0034.42
15/07/2020Yarmouth 3.10Fiery Breath1.00No7.50-1.0033.42
15/07/2020Catterick 4.20Escape Clause1.00No13.00-1.0032.42
15/07/2020Kempton 8.45Twittering1.00No7.00-1.0031.42
16/07/2020Hamilton 2.00Air Raid1.50No6.50-1.5029.92
16/07/2020Hamilton 2.30Phoenix Approach1.00No4.50-1.0028.92
17/07/2020Leicester 5.05Champagne Bob1.00No6.00-1.0027.92
17/07/2020Haydock 8.25La Voix Magique1.00No7.00-1.0026.92
18/07/2020Haydock 6.55Dutch Story1.00No5.00-1.0025.92
18/07/2020Bath 6.35Vandad1.00No6.00-1.0024.92
18/07/2020Bath 7.05Hammy End1.00No3.75-1.0023.92
19/07/2020Southwell 1.30Hidden Cargo2.00No2.88-2.0021.92
19/07/2020Southwell 3.50Emma Lamb1.50No3.00-1.5020.42
20/07/2020Market Rasen 1.40Coup De Pinceau1.50No3.75-1.5018.92
20/07/2020Market Rasen 2.40Somethinboutangela2.00No3.75-2.0016.92
20/07/2020Ayr 12.45Pretty Lady1.00No4.00-1.0015.92
20/07/2020Ayr 3.50My Valentino1.00No17.00-1.0014.92
21/07/2020Stratford 3.00Some Day Soon1.00No5.00-1.0013.92
21/07/2020Chepstow 3.15Lola Showgirl1.00No5.504.5018.42
21/07/2020Sandown 5.35Geranium1.50No7.009.0027.42
21/07/2020Sandown 7.45Hochfeld2.00No6.00-2.0025.42
22/07/2020Yarmouth 4.20Anglo Saxon1.00No6.005.0030.42
22/07/2020Catterick 4.30Emerald Ensign1.00No9.00-1.0029.42
22/07/2020Catterick 7.00Lady Nectar1.50No5.006.0035.42
23/07/2020Uttoxeter 3.40Mega Double1.00No8.50-1.0034.42
23/07/2020Pontefract 2.50Saluti2.00No5.008.0042.42
23/07/2020Pontefract 5.00Highwaygrey1.00No6.005.0047.42
23/07/2020Sandown 5.55Epic Endeavour1.50No9.00-1.5045.92
24/07/2020Newmarket 12.35Turn To Rock1.00No7.506.5052.42
24/07/2020Beverley 1.50Kentuckyconnection1.50No5.506.7559.17
25/07/2020Newmarket 5.10Baasem2.00No2.88-2.0057.17
26/07/2020York 4.30Confide1.00No4.00-1.0056.17
26/07/2020Cartmel 3.10Fort De L'Ocean1.50No3.503.7559.92
26/07/2020Cartmel 4.55Juge Et Parti1.00No9.50-1.0058.92
27/07/2020Windsor 6.30Tenax1.50No4.50-1.5057.42
28/07/2020Goodwood 1.10Declared Interest1.00No8.00-1.0056.42
28/07/2020Goodwood 4.55Asiaaf1.50No4.50-1.5054.92
30/07/2020Goodwood 1.10Caspian Queen1.50No4.33-1.5053.42
30/07/2020Southwell 2.30Highly Prized1.00No4.333.3356.75

Month Five Results

Month five of our Value Backing Naps review finished with a disappointing loss of 31.5 points, which was more than half our bank in the space of one month.

Unfortunately our subscription had ended in August so we didn't receive some tips during that month and began recording again from September. It seems we missed some winners during this time, but given the poor results after this, it wouldn't have made a difference to our final rating.

Key Stats

Advised OddsAvailable Odds
Number of Bets8181
Total Stakes (pts)82.582.5
Profit/Loss (pts)-32.0-31.5
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)-£320.00-£315.00
Strike Rate8.6%8.6%
ROI-38.8%-38.2%
Overall Bank Growth-54.4%-49.5%
Bank (50pt starting)22.7925.25

Results

DateRaceSelectionTotal StakeEW?Available OddsP/LBank
03/09/2020Newcastle 12.50Zebulon1.00No8.007.0063.75
03/09/2020Newcastle 4.10Etikaal1.00No10.00-1.0062.75
03/09/2020Salisbury 4.50Berkshire Savvy1.00No6.00-1.5061.25
03/09/2020Southwell 7.30Envol De La Cour1.50No5.50-1.0060.25
04/09/2020Thirsk 4.35Venturous1.00No8.00-1.0059.25
04/09/2020Haydock 3.20Hyperfocus1.00No6.005.0064.25
04/09/2020Haydock 4.55Finoah1.50No4.33-1.5062.75
04/09/2020Kempton 7.20Carnwennan1.00No6.00-1.0061.75
05/09/2020Wolverhampton 5.25Carey Street1.00No6.50-1.0060.75
05/09/2020Wolverhampton 9.00Berkshire Philly1.00No8.50-1.0059.75
06/09/2020Fontwell 3.20Our Rockstar1.00No4.00-1.0058.75
06/09/2020Musselburgh 3.30Mews House1.00No6.00-1.0057.75
06/09/2020Musselburgh 4.00Sioux Frontier1.00No5.00-1.0056.75
06/09/2020Musselburgh 4.30High Fort1.00No7.00-1.0055.75
07/09/2020Lingfield 1.00Power Of States1.00No5.00-1.0054.75
07/09/2020Lingfield 1.30Aljalela1.00No7.006.0060.75
07/09/2020Lingfield 4.00Glencora1.00No4.50-1.0059.75
07/09/2020Perth 4.15Lleyton1.00No8.50-1.0058.75
08/09/2020Goodwood 4.40Themaxwecan1.00No7.00-1.0057.75
08/09/2020Newcastle 5.15Sands Chorus1.00No6.50-1.0056.75
08/09/2020Newcastle 5.50Kyoto Star1.00No6.00-1.0055.75
09/09/2020Uttoxeter 1.30Employer1.50No4.33-1.5054.25
09/09/2020Uttoxeter 2.00Khanisari1.00No7.00-1.0053.25
10/09/2020Haydock 1.30Society Queen1.00No11.00-1.0052.25
10/09/2020Haydock 4.40Kuwait Shield1.00No5.50-1.0051.25
10/09/2020Chelmsford 7.00Cemhaan1.00No7.00-1.0050.25
11/09/2020Sandown 3.05Ebury1.00No7.00-1.0049.25
12/09/2020Doncaster 1.15Magical Morning1.00No5.00-1.0048.25
12/09/2020Musselburgh 5.40Fred1.00No5.50-1.0047.25
13/09/2020Wolverhampton 2.30Deftera Lad1.00No5.00-1.0046.25
13/09/2020Wolverhampton 4.05True Destiny1.00No7.50-1.0045.25
14/09/2020Lingfield 1.50He's Our Star1.00No7.50-1.0044.25
14/09/2020Wolverhampton 6.20Plansina1.00No5.50-1.0043.25
14/09/2020Wolverhampton 7.50Lady Eleanor1.00No5.50-1.0042.25
15/09/2020Redcar 2.20Zap1.00No5.00-1.0041.25
15/09/2020Hexham 4.10For Three1.00No8.00-1.0040.25
15/09/2020Kempton 7.10Villanelle1.00No7.00-1.0039.25
16/09/2020Beverley 3.35Cote D'Azur1.00No5.50-1.0038.25
16/09/2020Sandown 4.30Starry Eyes1.00No7.00-1.0037.25
16/09/2020Kelso 5.40Monsieur Co1.00No4.50-1.0036.25
17/09/2020Pontefract 1.45Penny Pot Lane1.00No4.50-1.0035.25
17/09/2020Pontefract 2.50Bailarico1.00No5.50-1.0034.25
17/09/2020Chelmsford 8.00Poëtica1.00No5.50-1.0033.25
17/09/2020Chelmsford 8.30Muraaqeb1.00No8.00-1.0032.25
18/09/2020Ayr 3.55Flying Pursuit1.00No10.00-1.0031.25
18/09/2020Ayr 4.55Vive La Difference1.00No5.50-1.0030.25
19/09/2020Wolverhampton 6.15Clinician1.00No6.505.5035.75
20/09/2020Plumpton 2.50Foreign Secretary1.00No6.00-1.0034.75
20/09/2020Plumpton 3.50Jaytrack Parkhomes1.00No4.50-1.0033.75
21/09/2020Hamilton 3.55Ascot Day1.00No9.00-1.0032.75
22/09/2020Lingfield 4.50Beholden1.00No4.50-1.0031.75
22/09/2020Newcastle 4.00Esspeegee1.00No5.00-1.0030.75
22/09/2020Newcastle 8.10Lady Andaz1.00No5.00-1.0029.75
23/09/2020Perth 4.50Generation Gap1.00No5.50-1.0028.75
23/09/2020Perth 5.50Nye Bevan1.00No4.50-1.0027.75
24/09/2020Perth 4.00Demon D'Aunou1.00No10.00-1.0026.75
24/09/2020Pontefract 3.45Heart Stopper1.00No5.50-1.0025.75
25/09/2020Newcastle 6.30War Defender1.00No6.50-1.0024.75
25/09/2020Newcastle 7.00Sea Storm1.00No7.00-1.0023.75
25/09/2020Newcastle 7.30Switzer1.00No4.00-1.0022.75
26/09/2020Market Rasen 2.45Marine One1.00No7.006.0028.75
26/09/2020Haydock 3.10Quick Look1.00No8.00-1.0027.75
26/09/2020Ripon 5.40Rebel Redemption1.00No6.00-1.0026.75
26/09/2020Chelmsford 5.10Voice Of Dubawi1.00No5.00-1.0025.75
26/09/2020Chelmsford 5.45Fair Man1.00No6.50-1.0024.75
27/09/2020Nottingham 5.00Molly Shaw1.00No5.00-1.0023.75
27/09/2020Chester 3.35Ejtilaab1.00No3.75-1.0022.75
27/09/2020Chester 4.45Arabist1.00No13.00-1.0021.75
27/09/2020Musselburgh 2.50Royal Context1.00No8.50-1.0020.75
28/09/2020Newton Abbot 2.10High Renown1.00No7.00-1.0019.75
28/09/2020Newton Abbot 3.40Arkyn1.00No10.00-1.0018.75
28/09/2020Bath 4.20Perfect Outing1.00No5.00-1.0017.75
28/09/2020Newcastle 7.15Herbert Pocket1.00No7.00-1.0016.75
29/09/2020Ayr 1.30Mr Wagyu1.00No11.00-1.0015.75
29/09/2020Ayr 2.05Only Alone1.00No8.00-1.0014.75
29/09/2020Ayr 3.15Redarna1.00No8.007.0021.75
29/09/2020Bangor 3.25Bbold1.00No10.00-1.0020.75
29/09/2020Wolverhampton 7.40Ustath1.00No7.50-1.0019.75
30/09/2020Huntingdon 2.35Silent Encore1.00No5.00-1.0018.75
30/09/2020Huntingdon 3.10Dollnamix1.00No4.50-1.0017.75
30/09/2020Nottingham 3.30Glen Force1.00No8.507.5025.25

Review Summary

Our Value Backing Naps review was a struggle from the start with three poor months on the bounce. We had decided to keep the trial running as the UK racing had just returned and perhaps needed time to settle in.

Carl did manage to pull things back but it wasn't long before we experienced a terrible month, losing 63% of our bank in one month.

As we explained above, we did miss out on August's tips due to a mistake with the subscription finishing too early, but this wouldn't have made a difference to our final rating of the service.

It's disappointing as we had awarded pass ratings to Carl Nicholson's tips services before. It hasn't been the easiest of times for him to navigate with the pandemic going on, however, there have been other services that have flourished during that time. 

Sadly, it is a "fail" on this occasion.

Key Stats

Advised OddsAvailable Odds
Number of Bets357357
Total Stakes (pts)391.0391.0
Profit/Loss (pts)-27.2-24.8
Profit/Loss (£10 stakes)-£272.10-£247.60
Strike Rate20.2%20.2%
ROI-7.0%-6.3%
Overall Bank Growth-54.4%-49.5%
Bank (50pt starting)22.7925.25
Review Stats-24.76pts profit, -6.3% ROI, 20.2% SR
Stakes Advised between 1-2 point stakes
Starting bank 50 points
Average no. betsApprox. 70 per month
Time of emailsMorning
Price£7 for 7 days, £24.99 per month or £199 per year
RatingFail

Other Systems and Services which Passed

Clear Bonus Profits Review: Matched Betting Service
Ollie hadn't tried matched betting before, but this service allowed him to make a profit of £1,400.86 in just 3 months. Read my Clear Bonus Profit review here.
SVB Tips Review: Multi-Sport Betting Tips Service
SVB Tips is a multi-sport tipping service that had a clean sweep during my review with 3 out of 3 winning months, achieving 79.89 points profit in total.
Merlin Results Radar Review: Treble Betting System
During my Merlin Results Radar review, I was able to make a profit of 47.82 points from 12 runs using the football betting tool, making it an easy "pass".
Wadster Bet Bots Review: Pay When You Profit Betting Tips
Wadster Bet Bots is a tips service platform with a difference, as rather than paying a monthly subscription for them, you only pay when the tips make a profit.
Racing Success Review: Betfair SP Horse Racing Tips
Racing Success achieved a fantastic set of results during my review, producing 63.58 points profit at Betfair SP overall. The success came from the win bets, which produced a profit in three out of four months.
The Outside Edge Review: Morning & Evening Racing Tips
The Outside Edge is a horse racing tipster who has developed a two-pronged approach to his betting. Results looked promising, but how did it do in my review?

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Laura Turner

About Laura

I have been running the 'Betting System Review' part of Goal Profits since 2015. I carry out fully independent reviews of betting and trading systems, tracking results and giving my honest feedback.

Here are some betting systems and services that earned a Pass rating when I reviewed them:

I have reviewed a number of matched betting services, but OddsMonkey is one of the best. It’s easy to use, great value for money and there’s even a FREE trial!

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I made 43.53 points profit at an ROI of 25.2% during my BSP Profits review over a period of seven months, with all bets at Betfair SP – no bookmakers required!

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During my Bet Hero review, I was able to uncover tons of markets where bookmakers have mispriced the odds and was able to make £866.97 profit at an ROI of 8.56%.

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